NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	8.9 [131]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): +18.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	5.3 [360]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -16.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.02	11	70%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Eric Williams	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.02	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	64%	0.19	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Overton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	15	52%	-0.04	3	-0.11	12	75%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.17	-0.06	-0.07	15	32%	-0.13	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.10	-0.03	13	67%	0.22	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	61%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.05
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	88%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.01	12	68%	0.19	6	-0.17	4	50%	-0.03
Lari Ketner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	9	26%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.4	14.8	29.7	1.8	34.4	132.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.3%

CLE +27.5%

CLE +13.1%

BOS -20.8%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	13.2	15.2	101.0	106.9	101.7
season	14.7	14.1		102.4	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	16.5	15.1	14.1	15.0
CLE	12.8	13.5	13.1	13.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	69	69	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-14	22	13.6	17.9	-4.26	13.5	12.6	0.93
Kenny Anderson	70	69	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.31	11	-17	28	13.5	18.2	-4.74	13.3	13.1	0.26
Doug Overton	2	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-3	0	36.5	14.6	21.93	8.7	13.4	-4.71
Eric Williams	76	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-9	12	14.6	16.1	-1.45	13.3	13.1	0.17
Antoine Walker	81	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-10	14	14.7	16.0	-1.32	13.5	12.2	1.32
Danny Fortson	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	2	-10	15.4	14.8	0.56	12.6	13.5	-0.85
Vitaly Potapenko	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-8	10	14.8	15.5	-0.76	13.3	13.2	0.12
Calbert Cheaney	20	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	2	-10	16.9	14.5	2.36	13.3	13.2	0.08
Tony Battie	22	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	4	-14	16.7	14.5	2.20	13.0	13.3	-0.36
Dana Barros	31	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	8	-22	16.6	14.3	2.32	13.1	13.3	-0.25
Adrian Griffin	39	39	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.19	-15	9	-24	17.2	13.7	3.53	12.9	13.4	-0.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	50	51	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-7	20	12.9	13.6	-0.66	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Brevin Knight	57	58	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.33	14	-8	22	12.9	13.6	-0.65	14.6	15.5	-0.96
Cedric Henderson	50	51	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-4	14	13.5	13.0	0.56	14.9	15.1	-0.12
Bob Sura	56	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	-3	12	13.7	12.7	1.06	15.5	14.4	1.10
Shawn Kemp	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	12.9	13.7	-0.80	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Lari Ketner	11	11	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	1	4	14.4	13.1	1.26	13.5	15.2	-1.63
Lamond Murray	68	68	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	9	-12	13.3	13.0	0.31	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Andrew DeClercq	36	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	8	-10	13.6	13.0	0.62	15.5	14.7	0.73
Mark Bryant	40	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.08	0	6	-6	12.8	13.5	-0.72	15.7	14.6	1.16
Wesley Person	33	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	12	-18	12.6	13.6	-0.97	15.4	14.8	0.62
Andre Miller	45	44	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	14	-22	13.6	12.9	0.65	15.5	14.6	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.4%
BOS 99, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.91,1	91.9%
POR 96, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.91,1	91.5%