NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	74		Excitement	8.3 [181]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +25.1%
Indiana Pacers	78		Comeback	2.3 [656]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -37.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.25,0.25	0.03	0.21	-0.01	7	64%	0.26	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	20	53%	0.07	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.00	7	25%	-0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	-0.38	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.32,-0.38	-0.05	-0.30	0.03	13	56%	-0.26	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.2	0.20	-0.06	0.25	-0.01	7	33%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	4	25%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	12	52%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.13	-0.01	23	33%	-0.24	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.17	0.01	20	43%	-0.22	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	4.4	34.4	17.8	26.0	3.6	41.3	154.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +1.5%

IND +7.0%

IND +21.4%

IND +19.5%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	17.1	15.7	88.1	91.8	100.5
season	16.2	16.7		99.2	101.1
opponent	15.7	16.0		94.7	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.5	19.0	18.3	17.6	17.0
IND	17.2	13.1	20.5	18.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	19	19	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.16	6	-10	16	15.8	17.3	-1.50	17.4	17.0	0.38
Lindsey Hunter	0	1	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-4	4	0.0	17.0	-16.95	6.0	17.3	-11.26
Darvin Ham	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-4	4	18.0	16.9	1.06	5.0	17.4	-12.42
Corliss Williamson	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-1	-2	17.3	16.7	0.62	16.7	17.5	-0.72
Mehmet Okur	25	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-1	-2	17.0	16.9	0.01	17.1	17.2	-0.08
Ben Wallace	69	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-4	4	16.6	18.8	-2.25	17.4	15.9	1.56
Elden Campbell	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	4	-12	17.0	16.9	0.06	13.9	17.8	-3.96
Tayshaun Prince	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-5	6	16.2	17.9	-1.77	18.1	15.9	2.19
Richard Hamilton	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-4	4	17.1	15.3	1.74	17.2	16.4	0.76
Rasheed Wallace	62	62	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	-1	-2	17.6	15.1	2.46	17.6	15.9	1.73
Chauncey Billups	65	66	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.54	-10	6	-16	17.3	15.8	1.50	17.0	17.4	-0.38

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	71	70	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.56	9	-5	14	17.3	16.5	0.75	17.4	14.7	2.69
Reggie Miller	57	57	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-7	18	16.8	17.9	-1.09	17.0	16.8	0.26
Jamaal Tinsley	58	56	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-7	18	17.2	17.0	0.24	17.1	16.7	0.30
Jeff Foster	46	45	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.55	-1	5	-6	17.9	16.3	1.61	16.5	17.5	-1.05
Metta World Peace	76	76	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	3	-2	17.3	15.9	1.39	16.9	17.4	-0.47
Al Harrington	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	-6	16	16.2	18.1	-1.82	17.5	16.3	1.20
Jonathan Bender	23	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	5	-6	17.9	16.9	1.01	17.5	16.8	0.76
Anthony Johnson	27	28	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	11	-18	17.0	17.2	-0.24	16.7	17.1	-0.30
Fred Jones	9	9	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.06	-8	12	-20	16.8	17.2	-0.39	15.1	17.2	-2.06
Austin Croshere	14	14	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.17	-5	9	-14	16.5	17.3	-0.75	14.7	17.4	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.67,0.58,1	91.2%
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	91.0%
WAS 107, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.85,1	90.6%