NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	8.7 [133]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +16.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	2.7 [457]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -25.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	22	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	10	60%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	9	53%	-0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	14	40%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Smith	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	13	23%	-0.20	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31,-0.31,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	14	47%	-0.00	4	-0.22	10	80%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.15	0.01	12	53%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.11	0.00	8	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	16	50%	0.09	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	33	49%	0.07	4	-0.19	11	91%	0.04
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	0.00	5	50%	-0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	31.2	14.7	24.0	1.7	32.0	127.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.2%

PHI +14.5%

MIN -1.1%

PHI +2.3%

MIN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.6	97.8	101.1	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		106.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	16.1		98.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.1	16.7	14.5	16.7	15.2
PHI	15.7	14.0	17.4	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	12	11	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-3	1	13.9	15.4	-1.49	15.6	15.4	0.24
Felipe Lopez	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	8.0	15.3	-7.29	0.0	15.6	-15.59
Joe Smith	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	0	-5	16.2	13.5	2.75	16.1	14.3	1.80
Kevin Garnett	82	83	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-9	13	14.3	21.7	-7.39	15.7	13.5	2.20
Chauncey Billups	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.1	0.31	15.5	15.4	0.10
Anthony Peeler	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-3	1	16.1	14.5	1.55	15.3	15.5	-0.27
Sam Mitchell	18	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	6	-17	13.9	15.5	-1.64	13.5	15.9	-2.43
Wally Szczerbiak	80	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-4	3	15.2	15.2	0.07	15.2	16.8	-1.65
Rasho Nesterovic	78	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	-3	1	15.8	12.1	3.67	15.8	13.0	2.84

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	68	67	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.45	14	-9	23	15.9	14.2	1.73	15.6	14.3	1.21
Allen Iverson	88	87	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.41	13	-8	21	15.7	12.3	3.38	15.2	15.0	0.23
Derrick Coleman	68	68	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-6	17	15.7	14.7	0.95	15.9	13.4	2.43
Eric Snow	65	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	2	1	16.0	14.1	1.93	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Dikembe Mutombo	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	7	-9	15.9	13.9	2.05	15.6	13.8	1.83
Samuel Dalembert	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	1	3	15.7	15.4	0.36	13.0	15.4	-2.40
Raja Bell	27	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	4	-3	13.7	16.1	-2.40	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Speedy Claxton	24	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.16	-1	6	-7	13.6	16.0	-2.40	15.7	15.1	0.61
Corie Blount	33	31	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	14.0	16.2	-2.18	13.6	16.0	-2.45
Derrick McKey	22	21	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.06	-12	17	-29	14.7	15.6	-0.90	13.5	15.7	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.57,1	92.1%
IND 102, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.72,1	91.4%
DET 74, IND 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.59,1	91.2%