NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	9.0 [145]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +26.0%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	2.4 [592]		LVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): -28.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.00	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.08	4	-0.11	4	0%	-0.15
Jason Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	6	21%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	10	45%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,0.01,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.01,-0.26	-0.02	-0.23	0.01	22	51%	0.13	6	-0.40	7	86%	0.02
Corey Brewer	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	9	20%	-0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.09	0.01	16	77%	0.41	2	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	12	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	7	19%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.19	-0.00	18	44%	-0.05	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.19	0.02	8	37%	-0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.4	27.3	16.7	26.2	2.8	37.6	143.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +13.3%

DAL +10.5%

DAL +5.9%

DAL +16.0%

DAL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	17.0	14.9	98.9	100.0	105.1
season	14.0	15.5		105.9	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	15.9	14.9	20.4	15.9
DAL	16.5	16.1	20.1	15.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	32	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-5	8	15.2	16.3	-1.04	16.3	17.4	-1.08
Clint Capela	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-1	0	13.9	16.6	-2.69	18.7	16.5	2.19
KJ McDaniels	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	13.6	17.1	-3.46	17.5	16.8	0.79
Andrew Goudelock	4	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	5	-12	13.5	16.0	-2.49	15.0	17.1	-2.13
Corey Brewer	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-5	8	16.1	15.7	0.38	17.6	16.5	1.13
Michael Beasley	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-2	2	16.1	15.7	0.32	16.4	17.5	-1.07
Dwight Howard	58	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-1	0	16.7	14.1	2.60	16.7	17.9	-1.21
James Harden	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-1	0	16.1	13.7	2.34	17.2	15.7	1.52
Patrick Beverley	53	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-2	2	16.3	15.2	1.14	16.9	17.2	-0.28
Trevor Ariza	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	2	-6	16.4	12.5	3.91	16.9	17.7	-0.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	73	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-4	10	17.0	17.4	-0.44	15.9	15.7	0.21
Justin Anderson	39	38	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	-1	4	16.3	17.6	-1.30	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Jose Juan Barea	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.54	1	1	0	16.8	17.9	-1.14	16.6	13.5	3.16
Dirk Nowitzki	61	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	17.2	16.7	0.42	16.1	15.4	0.73
Devin Harris	55	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	1	0	16.7	17.5	-0.82	16.2	15.3	0.82
David Lee	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	-4	10	17.7	16.6	1.18	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Zaza Pachulia	46	42	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.41	-10	12	-22	17.5	16.5	1.02	15.5	16.2	-0.63
Salah Mejri	28	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.19	9	-7	16	16.7	17.2	-0.52	17.0	15.3	1.69
Charlie Villanueva	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	0.0	17.0	-17.03	8.0	16.0	-7.97
Raymond Felton	36	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.11	-4	6	-10	17.7	16.6	1.12	14.2	17.0	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.67,0.58,1	92.1%
LAL 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1	91.3%
SAS 76, NJN 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.32,0.58,1	90.8%