NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	10.3 [30]		MVP	Sam Perkins (IND): +49.2%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	3.8 [158]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -41.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.49	0.06	0.43	-0.00	4	80%	0.49	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.09	0.01	13	93%	0.33	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.01	12	56%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	8	37%	0.13	3	-0.28	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	11	27%	-0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.27,-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.01	15	27%	-0.41	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,0.34	0.34	-0.02	0.37	0.01	16	44%	0.36	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24	0.24	0.01	0.22	-0.01	22	54%	0.31	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mark West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	80%	0.12	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	7	68%	0.04	2	-0.09	14	93%	0.04
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.7	30.4	15.7	23.2	1.8	40.0	134.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +67.6%

ATL +2.8%

IND -33.9%

ATL +11.8%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.0	15.8	108.5	108.4	99.6
season	16.4	16.7		105.4	97.2
opponent	16.3	16.0		94.9	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	15.4	16.0	15.7	15.4
ATL	15.3	14.6	16.0	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	19	20	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.15	5	-6	11	16.3	15.2	1.04	18.9	14.0	4.95
Sam Perkins	16	19	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.25	1	-2	3	16.4	15.2	1.21	15.8	14.8	1.00
Mark Jackson	53	56	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.21	13	-14	27	15.5	15.3	0.17	15.1	15.0	0.07
Rik Smits	53	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	2	-5	15.5	15.3	0.25	13.8	16.9	-3.18
Chris Mullin	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	1	-3	15.4	15.4	0.02	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Jalen Rose	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.36	1	-2	3	15.4	15.4	-0.02	15.4	14.6	0.80
Dale Davis	63	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.59	4	-5	9	14.7	17.0	-2.38	15.7	13.9	1.83
Travis Best	41	39	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.26	-14	13	-27	15.3	15.5	-0.17	15.0	15.1	-0.07
Antonio Davis	56	54	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.59	-4	3	-7	15.9	14.7	1.22	15.4	14.6	0.72
Reggie Miller	75	75	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.62	-6	5	-11	15.2	16.3	-1.04	14.0	18.9	-4.95

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	45	44	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-10	21	15.3	14.8	0.43	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	77	77	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.64	3	-2	5	14.1	18.9	-4.75	15.5	15.4	0.10
Steven Smith	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.57	5	-4	9	13.6	19.7	-6.04	15.5	15.1	0.44
Dikembe Mutombo	78	78	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.59	4	-3	7	14.5	17.4	-2.89	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Alan Henderson	74	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	0	1	14.5	17.1	-2.64	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Grant Long	21	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	1	-1	17.1	14.5	2.64	15.5	15.4	0.08
Chris Crawford	35	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	8	-15	15.5	14.8	0.66	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Mark West	17	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.12	-3	4	-7	17.4	14.5	2.89	16.1	15.3	0.83
Anthony Johnson	23	22	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	4	-7	18.3	14.0	4.30	16.0	15.2	0.80
Roshown McLeod	32	31	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.18	-6	7	-13	17.3	13.9	3.38	14.8	15.7	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.67,0.58,1	91.4%
MIA 75, ORL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	91.0%
SAS 92, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.74,1	90.8%