NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	107		Excitement	7.7 [296]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +32.1%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	2.2 [631]		LVP	Luc Longley (CHI): -20.6%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gheorghe Muresan	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	6	94%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Chris Webber	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.05	22	70%	0.21	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.03	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06	0.05	-0.11	-0.00	14	72%	0.15	4	-0.21	4	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	11%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.21	-0.01	21	57%	0.32	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.2,0.29,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.13	-0.02	27	60%	0.27	0	0.00	11	100%	0.10
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	5	42%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	10	37%	-0.11	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.5	31.3	14.7	28.3	2.5	34.4	133.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -30.1%

CHI +10.6%

CHI +29.5%

CHI +34.7%

CHI +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.6	116.3	117.4	104.4
season	14.8	15.5		104.3	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.8		99.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	19.4	15.0	15.0	15.8
CHI	15.2	12.8	15.0	19.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	22	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-5	9	15.8	15.8	-0.07	17.4	14.9	2.48
Lorenzo Williams	37	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	0	-1	16.9	15.1	1.83	17.7	14.1	3.52
Tracy Murray	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.21	2	-3	5	15.8	15.8	0.03	17.6	14.6	2.98
Harvey Grant	39	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	2	-5	18.2	14.1	4.17	18.1	13.8	4.28
Calbert Cheaney	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.47	9	-10	19	13.9	18.0	-4.08	15.7	15.3	0.37
Jaren Jackson	14	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	5	-11	17.1	15.6	1.55	9.1	16.8	-7.69
Juwan Howard	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	4	-9	16.0	15.4	0.59	14.4	18.3	-3.85
Chris Webber	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.44	3	-4	7	15.2	25.0	-9.81	15.2	19.3	-4.12
Gheorghe Muresan	53	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	2	-5	15.5	16.2	-0.70	14.8	16.4	-1.61
Rod Strickland	70	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	4	-9	15.8	15.8	0.07	14.9	17.4	-2.48

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	84	83	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.58	10	-9	19	14.9	21.7	-6.87	15.9	15.4	0.42
Dennis Rodman	81	82	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.55	10	-9	19	14.7	21.2	-6.48	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Toni Kukoc	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-4	9	14.9	18.3	-3.33	15.5	17.5	-1.96
Luc Longley	54	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-2	5	14.8	16.4	-1.61	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Michael Jordan	77	77	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.45	-9	10	-19	15.5	15.1	0.41	15.2	19.1	-3.95
Randy Brown	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	8	-15	14.4	15.8	-1.38	13.7	16.4	-2.65
Jud Buechler	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	1	-1	0.0	15.5	-15.48	4.0	16.0	-11.96
Steve Kerr	26	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	-1	3	18.8	14.2	4.64	19.2	14.6	4.69
Jason Caffey	21	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.08	2	-1	3	19.1	14.4	4.75	19.7	14.6	5.13
Bill Wennington	20	20	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	12	-23	17.6	14.9	2.77	14.4	16.2	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.73,1	91.5%
NOH 74, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.97,1	91.4%
MIA 84, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.83,1	91.1%