NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	74		Excitement	7.5 [311]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NOH): +6.7%
New York Knicks	79		Comeback	2.0 [798]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -56.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	7	57%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	12	41%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Steven Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	18	39%	-0.10	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.56	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.38,-0.43,-0.56,-0.56,-0.56	-0.26	-0.28	0.03	22	28%	-0.40	5	-0.16	3	33%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	14	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	7	57%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.12
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.04	-0.03	20	43%	0.09	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	305.2	2.5	28.7	16.4	22.5	2.4	34.0	411.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +70.5%

NOH -11.0%

NOH -19.6%

NYK +9.9%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NYK	NBA	NOH	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.7	82.2	87.8	100.5
season	16.0	15.5		99.3	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.8	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	17.9	17.1	16.9	16.9
NYK	14.3	13.4	17.1	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	20	19	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.05	2	-7	9	15.5	17.3	-1.79	11.8	16.0	-4.21
David West	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-6	7	18.3	16.6	1.73	14.2	15.3	-1.15
Robert Traylor	24	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	1	-7	17.0	16.8	0.15	12.0	16.1	-4.06
George Lynch	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	17.1	16.7	0.36	15.6	14.6	1.01
Steven Smith	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	0	-5	16.7	17.0	-0.32	14.8	15.2	-0.39
David Wesley	77	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-5	5	16.4	19.6	-3.19	14.6	18.0	-3.42
Darrell Armstrong	48	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	16.8	17.0	-0.25	14.5	15.8	-1.34
Jamaal Magloire	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	17.2	16.2	1.01	16.2	12.2	3.96
Baron Davis	77	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-3	1	17.4	13.9	3.47	15.8	10.2	5.62
P.J. Brown	55	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	16.6	17.3	-0.74	16.4	12.8	3.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	15.8	12.9	2.88	16.7	17.4	-0.64
Shandon Anderson	43	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-3	11	14.6	15.6	-1.01	16.9	16.9	-0.04
Charlie Ward	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	2	1	14.5	16.2	-1.72	16.7	17.2	-0.46
Kurt Thomas	82	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	4	-3	15.1	15.0	0.12	16.6	19.6	-3.00
Allan Houston	75	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	8	-11	15.6	12.8	2.77	16.4	19.3	-2.85
Frank Williams	15	15	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-3	11	12.8	15.6	-2.77	19.3	16.4	2.85
Michael Doleac	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	0	5	13.5	15.9	-2.40	18.0	16.4	1.64
Howard Eisley	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	16.2	14.4	1.78	16.9	16.8	0.10
Keith Van Horn	42	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	7	-9	15.6	14.7	0.86	17.1	16.7	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 83, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
NYK 98, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.94,1,1	93.5%
NJN 95, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.94,1,1	92.5%