NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	6.0 [649]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +18.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	2.3 [802]		LVP	James Posey (MEM): -11.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.08	0.06	17	75%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	8	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
John Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	12	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.01	12	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	12	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.01	10	67%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	68%	0.18	2	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	9	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	11	43%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	27.5	16.6	21.0	1.7	34.0	125.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +20.4%

MIN -1.1%

MEM +6.0%

MEM +28.2%

MIN -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.5	100.0	100.0	104.0
season	15.8	16.4		106.2	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.9	18.4	16.4	13.0	16.3
MEM	18.9	13.7	20.4	17.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	47	51	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-11	17	16.3	16.2	0.03	19.1	15.0	4.07
Michael Olowokandi	43	44	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-5	5	16.9	15.6	1.28	15.9	18.8	-2.91
Latrell Sprewell	53	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.34	11	-16	27	16.0	16.7	-0.68	18.3	15.6	2.74
Troy Hudson	49	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	15.6	17.3	-1.74	18.9	15.0	3.94
John Thomas	24	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	0	-5	18.0	15.6	2.38	20.1	16.2	3.98
Kevin Garnett	68	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-8	11	16.1	17.2	-1.14	17.8	15.7	2.08
Anthony Carter	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	5	-15	17.3	15.6	1.74	15.0	18.9	-3.94
Eddie Griffin	24	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	3	-11	16.2	16.3	-0.02	17.2	17.5	-0.32
Fred Hoiberg	32	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	8	-21	16.3	16.2	0.08	14.3	19.2	-4.88
Wally Szczerbiak	41	42	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	9	-23	15.2	17.3	-2.02	15.6	19.0	-3.34

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	44	42	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-11	27	15.6	19.2	-3.59	15.8	16.8	-0.97
James Posey	76	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	16.1	25.8	-9.78	15.9	18.6	-2.73
Jason Williams	59	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	0	5	15.6	21.1	-5.49	15.4	18.2	-2.81
Jake Tsakalidis	20	21	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-10	25	14.2	18.3	-4.06	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Shane Battier	37	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	1	3	18.9	16.3	2.64	14.9	17.3	-2.48
Lorenzen Wright	67	62	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	7	-9	18.5	13.9	4.64	17.5	12.7	4.75
Mike Miller	54	50	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.33	-9	14	-23	18.2	16.0	2.21	15.6	17.3	-1.77
Earl Watson	29	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	5	-5	21.1	15.6	5.49	18.2	15.4	2.81
Brian Cardinal	54	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	16	-27	18.6	15.4	3.17	17.5	14.5	2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 74, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.97,1	94.0%
NYK 98, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.94,1,1	92.9%
LAL 103, NOK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.99,1	92.3%