NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	7.6 [324]		MVP	Maurice Evans (LAL): +31.6%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	113		Comeback	2.0 [231]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -15.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.22	0.10	0.00	9	100%	0.34	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	22	44%	0.02	1	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.12	0.01	16	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	10	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	13	57%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	15	63%	0.14	1	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	4	-0.13	7	43%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.0	31.4	17.4	29.4	1.7	32.3	138.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +25.8%

NOK +7.0%

NOK +23.9%

LAL -11.5%

NOK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOK	NBA	LAL	NOK	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.4	114.4	127.0	104.5
season	15.3	16.0		106.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		104.4	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.1	18.0	13.8	14.7	15.6
NOK	18.1	15.4	15.6	17.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	47	44	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.00	5	-15	20	14.5	16.8	-2.30	16.0	17.2	-1.27
Maurice Evans	54	53	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-16	22	14.4	17.4	-2.95	16.9	16.2	0.67
Vladimir Radmanovic	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-7	4	14.6	15.8	-1.21	17.3	16.4	0.86
Jordan Farmar	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-8	6	16.3	15.2	1.12	17.8	16.0	1.77
Sasha Vujacic	18	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.12	-4	-6	2	19.1	14.7	4.33	17.9	16.2	1.65
Brian Cook	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	0	-10	18.4	14.3	4.02	16.2	16.8	-0.50
Smush Parker	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	15.2	16.3	-1.12	16.0	17.8	-1.77
Andrew Bynum	56	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	16.1	14.7	1.47	17.4	15.1	2.35
Kobe Bryant	76	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	0	-10	15.1	18.3	-3.19	16.2	18.7	-2.57
Luke Walton	62	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.20	-18	8	-26	15.6	15.6	0.03	16.1	17.7	-1.54

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	68	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-7	24	17.0	15.3	1.71	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Jannero Pargo	41	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	15.9	17.2	-1.29	16.6	14.7	1.89
Rasual Butler	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-1	12	17.0	15.4	1.62	16.3	13.6	2.73
Tyson Chandler	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	16.3	17.6	-1.30	14.8	18.2	-3.36
Bobby Jackson	49	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	9	-8	16.3	17.0	-0.69	15.9	15.2	0.63
Devin Brown	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	4	2	16.7	16.5	0.12	15.8	15.4	0.40
Marc Jackson	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	7	-4	16.9	16.6	0.34	18.6	15.2	3.39
Desmond Mason	65	65	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	15	-20	16.8	16.0	0.76	13.8	20.1	-6.27
Linton Johnson	31	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	16	-22	16.3	16.8	-0.52	16.8	14.9	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 74, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.97,1	92.4%
MIN 83, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.3%
HOU 86, CHH 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.77,0.93,1	91.5%