NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	6.7 [443]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +16.6%
Charlotte Hornets	93		Comeback	2.4 [536]		LVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): -17.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.03	0.02	7	127%	0.23	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0,0,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	18	49%	0.17	3	-0.16	5	60%	0.03
Matt Bullard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	48%	-0.01	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	15	38%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	8	39%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	19	61%	0.21	6	-0.17	8	100%	0.06
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.08	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	17	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	22.2	14.6	23.2	1.7	34.8	124.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +20.2%

HOU -3.0%

CHH +19.1%

CHH +12.1%

CHH +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHH	NBA	HOU	CHH	NBA
this game	16.1	16.5	15.6	96.6	105.7	102.5
season	15.7	15.7		104.5	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		102.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.9	16.1	13.8	17.6	16.1
CHH	15.1	12.0	20.9	19.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	8	9	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.11	10	-17	27	18.7	15.8	2.96	13.7	16.8	-3.14
Matt Bullard	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	9.5	16.2	-6.71	4.3	16.9	-12.58
Brent Price	11	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-3	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.69	13.5	17.0	-3.46
Clyde Drexler	72	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-7	7	15.7	17.6	-1.97	16.7	15.6	1.04
Rodrick Rhodes	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	16.2	15.7	0.54	16.9	15.5	1.45
Othella Harrington	52	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	4	-15	16.2	15.8	0.42	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Kevin Willis	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-5	3	15.7	17.0	-1.29	17.1	14.9	2.25
Charles Barkley	59	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-7	7	16.5	15.2	1.34	16.4	16.6	-0.15
Matt Maloney	71	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.9	16.7	-0.83	16.7	15.6	1.15
Eddie Johnson	45	44	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.11	-17	10	-27	16.4	15.7	0.61	16.5	16.5	0.07

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-3	13	15.9	25.0	-9.13	16.5	11.5	5.01
Donald Royal	42	43	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-6	19	16.3	16.7	-0.34	16.4	15.8	0.61
Glen Rice	79	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	1	5	16.2	19.0	-2.80	15.5	20.7	-5.13
Anthony Mason	79	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	1	5	16.2	19.0	-2.80	15.5	21.6	-6.12
J.R. Reid	37	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	-2	11	16.6	16.4	0.14	16.2	16.0	0.18
Matt Geiger	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	7	-7	17.3	14.9	2.36	16.8	14.7	2.12
Travis Williams	5	4	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	7	-7	19.6	16.3	3.30	23.7	15.7	8.06
B.J. Armstrong	8	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	7	-7	22.2	15.9	6.34	13.9	16.4	-2.45
Corey Beck	50	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	16	-25	16.3	16.7	-0.34	15.7	16.5	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.77,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.4%
LAL 103, NOK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.99,1	91.5%
TOR 100, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.86,0.83,1	91.1%