NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	9.7 [78]		MVP	Loy Vaught (LAC): +33.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	116		Comeback	1.8 [750]		LVP	David Wesley (BOS): -56.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Hawkins	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	5	100%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Marty Conlon	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.17	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	17	64%	0.09	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	20	43%	0.09	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Brett Szabo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	62%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Hamer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	20	39%	-0.06	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.00
David Wesley	-0.56	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.35,-0.57	-0.14	-0.44	-0.01	15	30%	-0.34	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.09	0.25	0.00	13	64%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.05,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	-0.00	9	68%	0.26	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	14	72%	0.16	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	57%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.07
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	55%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.10
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	0.00	13	64%	0.12	4	-0.23	2	0%	-0.03
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	8	29%	-0.06	2	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.2	1.7	27.6	15.8	25.7	0.8	35.6	143.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +70.1%

LAC +6.7%

BOS -27.6%

LAC +1.3%

BOS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	15.6	109.8	114.9	104.4
season	14.8	15.8		101.8	102.9
opponent	15.1	14.7		105.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	16.1	15.2	15.0	14.6
LAC	13.2	13.9	13.1	15.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Hawkins	32	34	0.48	-0.98	1.45	0.07	14	-18	32	15.3	14.3	1.03	14.9	13.2	1.73
Alton Lister	34	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-7	10	16.0	13.9	2.09	14.7	13.3	1.43
Steve Hamer	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-3	2	10.3	14.7	-4.40	22.3	13.5	8.83
Brett Szabo	16	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	2	-8	11.6	15.2	-3.61	11.4	14.2	-2.77
Marty Conlon	71	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	0	-4	14.8	14.2	0.55	13.6	14.1	-0.53
Rick Fox	93	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-4	4	14.3	18.0	-3.72	13.9	12.0	1.93
Todd Day	92	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-3	2	14.6	14.9	-0.32	13.7	14.2	-0.49
Antoine Walker	87	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	5	-14	14.7	13.8	0.95	13.5	15.5	-2.08
David Wesley	82	81	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.46	-16	12	-28	14.6	14.5	0.07	13.3	15.5	-2.17

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	76	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-4	12	14.0	12.9	1.12	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Malik Sealy	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	12.7	15.9	-3.24	14.2	15.4	-1.12
Rodney Rogers	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	13.3	14.8	-1.58	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Loy Vaught	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	9	-14	14.4	12.9	1.57	15.1	14.0	1.13
Brent Barry	9	9	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	-3	10	14.4	13.7	0.75	16.3	14.4	1.89
Pooh Richardson	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-3	10	14.7	13.0	1.75	16.0	13.5	2.46
Darrick Martin	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	7	-10	12.7	15.0	-2.31	13.6	15.9	-2.25
Lamond Murray	17	17	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	1	2	15.1	13.5	1.56	14.6	14.6	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	4	-4	15.9	12.7	3.24	15.4	14.2	1.12
Lorenzen Wright	73	75	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	6	-8	13.2	15.2	-1.96	14.6	14.7	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.83,1	91.8%
WAS 107, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.85,1	91.5%
LAC 104, IND 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.53,0.73,1	91.3%