NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	104		Excitement	7.7 [341]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (IND): +34.2%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	2.1 [602]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -10.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.15	0.00	8	84%	0.29	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.01	12	36%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.16,0,0	0.14	-0.10	0.03	18	69%	0.24	2	-0.23	3	100%	0.01
Jawun Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Tobias Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1	0.02	-0.11	0.01	14	64%	0.12	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.15	0.01	18	76%	0.36	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.24,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.16	0.02	9	72%	0.23	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	11	59%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	16	45%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.02	13	62%	0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	8	35%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	25.6	14.6	25.8	1.7	37.5	130.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -4.8%

LAC -2.8%

IND +17.6%

IND +40.9%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	16.6	14.7	114.3	118.5	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		109.2	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.6		106.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.9	14.1	16.7	14.9	14.8
IND	15.5	15.2	16.8	19.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sindarius Thornwell	31	30	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-12	19	13.6	15.5	-1.87	19.9	15.0	4.87
Montrezl Harrell	35	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-6	7	13.9	15.4	-1.47	17.4	16.2	1.16
Sam Dekker	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	11.6	15.6	-4.03	18.1	16.3	1.79
Jawun Evans	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	15.8	14.8	1.01	21.7	16.4	5.36
Lou Williams	66	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-10	15	14.5	15.7	-1.20	17.3	14.4	2.91
Milos Teodosic	60	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	-3	1	14.5	15.5	-0.97	16.4	17.0	-0.58
Wesley Johnson	37	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	14	-33	15.2	14.6	0.58	13.4	18.8	-5.42
Tobias Harris	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.6	11.6	4.03	16.3	18.1	-1.79
Austin Rivers	69	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	0	-5	15.6	12.4	3.21	16.3	17.7	-1.36
DeAndre Jordan	61	63	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	2	-9	15.5	13.5	2.01	16.0	18.0	-2.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	63	64	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.30	19	-14	33	15.9	18.2	-2.32	15.5	13.3	2.20
Darren Collison	52	51	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.46	8	-3	11	16.3	17.0	-0.63	15.6	13.8	1.82
Myles Turner	72	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	0	5	16.0	18.8	-2.85	15.6	12.2	3.45
Thaddeus Young	71	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	2	1	15.8	19.2	-3.39	15.5	12.9	2.61
Victor Oladipo	70	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	16.1	18.1	-1.99	15.7	12.1	3.63
Trevor Booker	24	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	5	-5	19.5	15.6	3.90	12.4	15.8	-3.37
Glenn Robinson III	22	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	18.1	16.1	1.99	11.7	16.0	-4.21
Cory Joseph	52	50	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	12	-19	17.3	15.7	1.67	13.8	16.2	-2.41
Lance Stephenson	34	33	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.07	-8	13	-21	18.2	15.7	2.47	13.2	15.8	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.53,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	91.8%
WAS 86, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	91.4%
BOS 112, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.73,1	91.3%