NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	9.7 [71]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +20.4%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	2.3 [345]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -20.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2	-0.06	0.18	-0.08	22	50%	0.26	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.14	-0.04	12	62%	0.22	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.09
Kevin Garnett	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.08	-0.04	23	55%	0.29	1	-0.14	9	89%	0.12
Ervin Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.08	-0.02	9	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.07
Gary Trent	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	14	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.46,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	24	53%	0.19	3	-0.21	7	57%	-0.13
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	16	45%	0.02	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	14	62%	-0.01	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.05
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	9	39%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.02	-0.11	0.09	15	58%	-0.10	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	3.6	32.3	19.3	28.3	3.4	46.3	1.8	60.1	219.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.8%

MIN +11.9%

SAC -52.9%

MIN +50.6%

SAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.7	108.6	109.7	100.5
season	15.6	14.7		103.2	106.9
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	17.3	14.7	15.5	17.8	12.3	15.9
SAC	15.5	16.0	15.1	11.0	17.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	56	56	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.25	19	-18	37	15.8	16.0	-0.18	16.0	13.0	2.98
Latrell Sprewell	96	95	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-4	9	16.0	15.6	0.40	14.6	14.7	-0.12
Trenton Hassell	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	2	-3	16.5	14.4	2.14	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Mark Madsen	28	27	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	4	-7	16.2	15.8	0.40	12.3	15.5	-3.18
Fred Hoiberg	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.48	-4	5	-9	15.5	16.7	-1.16	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Gary Trent	15	14	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-6	13	16.3	15.9	0.40	16.6	14.3	2.32
Kevin Garnett	90	89	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	7	-13	15.9	16.3	-0.40	14.3	16.6	-2.32
Sam Cassell	62	61	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-5	11	15.7	16.3	-0.60	15.4	13.5	1.89
Michael Olowokandi	19	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	11	-21	16.9	15.7	1.19	14.7	14.6	0.10
Darrick Martin	11	9	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	-0.33	-8	9	-17	13.5	16.2	-2.76	11.7	14.9	-3.26

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	83	86	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-9	17	13.9	17.8	-3.98	16.2	14.5	1.77
Vlade Divac	41	41	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	16.2	13.6	2.66	17.5	14.9	2.61
Rodney Buford	1	1	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-1	1	4.0	14.7	-10.75	0.0	16.1	-16.08
Doug Christie	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-4	7	14.6	14.7	-0.03	16.4	14.2	2.15
Brad Miller	73	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.2	15.7	-1.54	15.3	17.5	-2.25
Chris Webber	91	93	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	4	-9	14.4	16.5	-2.10	15.9	16.0	-0.09
Peja Stojakovic	95	96	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	4	-9	14.8	13.2	1.51	15.9	15.9	0.04
Anthony Peeler	49	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	8	-17	15.7	13.6	2.09	14.6	17.1	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 120, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	89.5%
BKN 90, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	89.3%
TOR 94, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	89.1%