inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 120 Excitement11.9 [30] MVPAndre Drummond (DET): +46.4%
Detroit Pistons 115 Comeback2.4 [326] LVPJustise Winslow (MIA): -26.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0.320,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.54,0.320.120.200.002161%0.331-0.012100%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.20.090.130.02579%0.2000.00475%-0.01
Tyler Johnson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.03-0.04582%0.133-0.041100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.06-0.011052%0.122-0.06580%0.03
Dwyane Wade0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.04-0.011550%0.083-0.07633%-0.15
Rodney McGruder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.00844%0.042-0.0620%-0.04
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00450%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.130,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.01-0.100.021849%-0.053-0.08786%0.02
Justise Winslow-0.270,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27-0.05-0.210.011037%-0.241-0.02450%-0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.460.460.010.450.001953%0.564-0.09933%-0.12
Reggie Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,0.12,0.120.120.010.11-0.002252%0.213-0.094100%0.02
Jon Leuer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Blake Griffin0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.000.012148%0.024-0.08875%-0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.13-0.130.07-0.21-0.011560%0.092-0.22560%-0.02
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.09-0.070.00922%-0.141-0.0300%0.00
Glenn Robinson III0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0,0,-0.19-0.190.04-0.230.001262%-0.152-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.51.733.514.728.30.343.11.817.4169.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +19.3%
DET -3.9%
MIA +15.2%
MIA +21.1%
DET -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game12.914.714.3103.4100.0109.3
season14.815.3106.3107.5
opponent14.014.3109.0106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA11.311.712.315.715.812.9
DET13.914.115.415.614.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson50510.57-0.070.650.1315-102511.913.6-1.6514.015.2-1.15
Dwyane Wade64640.460.040.420.209-41313.112.70.4113.915.6-1.63
Goran Dragic72730.330.170.170.2823-113.412.01.3814.714.60.03
Derrick Jones Jr.41420.330.170.170.1950512.513.1-0.6114.414.8-0.40
Kelly Olynyk52530.260.240.020.1732113.312.50.8514.115.1-1.02
Bam Adebayo64610.240.26-0.030.2405-512.513.3-0.8515.413.91.49
Josh Richardson81800.200.30-0.110.31-49-1313.012.70.3215.213.51.69
Justise Winslow76730.180.32-0.140.1805-512.912.80.1214.814.40.40
Rodney McGruder72710.050.45-0.390.08-16-712.813.0-0.1915.014.01.00
Wayne Ellington87-0.130.63-0.75-0.01-49-1313.912.81.0714.114.7-0.55

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glenn Robinson III63650.21-0.710.92-0.3218-234114.315.0-0.6914.011.52.48
Blake Griffin83860.04-0.540.58-0.4015-203515.313.12.2113.411.42.04
Reggie Jackson8385-0.15-0.350.20-0.274-91314.116.1-1.9913.112.30.76
Bruce Brown2727-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-50-517.113.93.2511.113.4-2.26
Andre Drummond9396-0.22-0.280.05-0.406-111715.112.72.3913.111.61.55
Jon Leuer1211-0.24-0.260.010.14-138-2114.114.7-0.649.613.2-3.58
Zaza Pachulia2320-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-116-1713.015.1-2.1311.613.1-1.55
Jose Calderon2424-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.11-61-714.614.7-0.1012.912.90.05
Ish Smith5655-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-94-1315.414.01.3912.912.90.06
Langston Galloway7576-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.31-3-2-114.115.8-1.7113.212.20.96
Stanley Johnson3635-0.650.15-0.80-0.03-2116-3713.515.2-1.7310.613.9-3.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 116, DEN 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.15,0.17,090.0%
SAS 112, OKC 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.37,0.1,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.69,0.27,089.9%
MIN 114, SAC 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.32,0.58,089.5%