NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	11.4 [19]		MVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): +24.1%
Denver Nuggets	115		Comeback	21.9 [56]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -30.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.08	-0.01	25	62%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Brent Price	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21	-0.09	0.30	0.00	4	37%	0.32	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	14	34%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	0.01	-0.13	-0.01	15	57%	-0.03	2	-0.08	7	86%	-0.03
Mario Elie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Barkley	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.19,-0.16,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31	-0.02	-0.28	0.00	10	66%	0.08	4	-0.39	12	92%	0.06

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harold Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.15	0.02	10	73%	0.24	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.10	-0.05	17	53%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Johnny Newman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18	0.18	0.00	0.18	0.01	8	68%	0.26	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.12
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	14	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	8	11%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	7	28%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	25.7	16.2	23.6	2.4	35.4	1.5	28.2	160.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +54.2%

HOU +11.8%

HOU +16.8%

DEN -40.5%

HOU +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.6	110.5	109.5	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		104.5	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.5	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.1	16.9	14.9	17.6	15.5	16.3
DEN	13.2	11.4	18.5	13.7	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	52	52	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-11	23	16.4	16.2	0.25	15.2	12.8	2.42
Eddie Johnson	33	34	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.52	7	-6	13	17.1	15.9	1.18	14.2	13.9	0.30
Clyde Drexler	81	82	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-7	15	16.7	15.0	1.76	14.2	13.2	1.02
Matt Bullard	31	34	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.43	6	-5	11	15.5	16.6	-1.09	13.7	14.1	-0.35
Charles Barkley	83	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	3	-5	16.7	15.0	1.66	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Kevin Willis	83	81	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	2	-3	16.7	15.0	1.61	14.4	12.5	1.91
Othella Harrington	13	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	1	-1	13.8	16.7	-2.90	12.3	14.2	-1.90
Rodrick Rhodes	24	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	8	-15	15.0	16.7	-1.76	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Mario Elie	72	71	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	8	-15	15.9	17.1	-1.18	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Brent Price	53	53	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	12	-23	16.2	16.4	-0.25	12.8	15.2	-2.42

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	72	74	0.50	-1.00	1.49	0.44	2	-3	5	14.6	12.7	1.86	17.0	14.7	2.28
Danny Fortson	14	14	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-5	9	10.6	14.5	-3.92	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Harold Ellis	60	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	4	-9	14.7	13.0	1.78	14.7	18.4	-3.69
Tony Battie	45	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	5	-11	14.8	13.3	1.53	16.4	16.2	0.16
Johnny Newman	82	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-3	5	13.6	15.3	-1.76	17.2	13.3	3.91
Priest Lauderdale	8	7	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	2	-5	17.2	13.7	3.55	16.3	16.3	-0.03
Eric Washington	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.48	3	-4	7	13.7	14.5	-0.87	16.6	15.9	0.66
Bobby Jackson	60	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	3	-7	13.4	14.7	-1.26	16.5	16.1	0.40
Anthony Goldwire	47	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	1	-3	14.6	13.5	1.09	16.3	16.3	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.15,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.22,0.09,0	91.5%
NJN 110, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.46,0.21,0.09,0,0	90.9%
MIA 120, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	90.0%