inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement8.9 [120] MVPErvin Johnson (MIL): +11.7%
Golden State Warriors 89 Comeback2.7 [450] LVPArmen Gilliam (MIL): -27.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ervin Johnson0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.001268%0.172-0.061100%0.01
Jamie Feick0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ricky Pierce-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew Lang-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00150%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Michael Curry-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.02-0.001339%0.022-0.07250%-0.01
Ray Allen-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08-0.01-0.050.022052%-0.022-0.068100%0.10
Elliot Perry-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.120.01-0.011327%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Jerald Honeycutt-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.0050%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Armen Gilliam-0.270,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.27-0.10-0.18-0.011856%-0.046-0.241694%0.10

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.020.02-0.010.040.021851%0.041-0.02978%0.03
Todd Fuller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Felton Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gerald Madkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.010.00458%0.033-0.07475%-0.00
Muggsy Bogues0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.01967%0.055-0.1000%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.050.00641%-0.071-0.04560%-0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.08-0.080.01945%0.013-0.18450%-0.02
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.11-0.130.011932%-0.201-0.0400%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.12-0.150.001348%0.016-0.28367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.22.028.716.026.42.628.20.722.6149.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW -4.8%
MIL +32.4%
GSW -10.2%
MIL +22.5%
MIL +10.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILGSWNBAMILGSWNBA
this game16.114.915.692.286.4102.5
season16.015.6101.192.9
opponent15.015.1102.8102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL13.216.016.020.016.016.1
GSW14.514.717.514.212.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ervin Johnson73730.95-0.451.400.5115-102516.215.80.3915.812.82.95
Armen Gilliam94960.58-0.080.660.329-41315.819.4-3.5515.112.92.22
Elliot Perry96980.460.040.420.3732116.115.80.2915.111.04.12
Ray Allen84850.380.120.270.3032116.315.31.0115.114.20.92
Michael Curry84830.360.140.220.109-41315.220.4-5.2015.014.70.28
Ricky Pierce3434-0.020.52-0.54-0.0514-317.615.42.1814.415.2-0.76
Jerald Honeycutt1617-0.070.57-0.630.11-611-1716.116.1-0.0511.915.5-3.57
Andrew Lang2122-0.070.57-0.640.08-510-1516.316.10.2213.515.3-1.87
Jamie Feick87-0.080.58-0.660.04-49-1319.415.83.5512.915.1-2.22

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Caffey45420.37-0.871.240.0411-162713.815.8-2.0317.315.32.00
Muggsy Bogues72720.05-0.550.600.050-5515.713.12.6616.615.01.52
Felton Spencer67-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-3112.015.1-3.1019.015.93.11
Gerald Madkins2322-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-3112.815.5-2.7012.917.0-4.14
Todd Fuller1515-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-5514.914.90.0120.715.35.42
Clar. Weatherspoon6161-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-50-516.013.42.5615.916.4-0.51
Tony Delk5353-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.322-7914.215.7-1.5917.614.53.11
Donyell Marshall8483-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.27-4-1-315.213.61.6515.717.9-2.26
Jim Jackson7877-0.570.07-0.64-0.25-116-1715.114.50.5815.219.0-3.88
Erick Dampier6867-0.720.22-0.95-0.46-94-1315.314.21.0915.317.7-2.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.22,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 116, DEN 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.15,0.17,091.5%
ORL 108, MIA 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.16,0.03,090.5%
SAC 112, SEA 1060.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.5,0.48,0.61,0.23,0.09,090.4%