inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 108 Excitement10.6 [40] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +44.5%
Miami Heat 102 Comeback3.8 [321] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -18.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.300,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.30.100.19-0.011763%0.372-0.074100%0.05
Vince Carter0.260,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.25,0.26,0.260.070.200.012155%0.332-0.07786%0.02
Jameer Nelson0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15-0.070.19-0.021644%0.233-0.08250%-0.11
JJ Redick0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.004100%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.05-0.100.02865%-0.041-0.02450%-0.04
Dwight Howard-0.180,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.07-0.090.02938%-0.132-0.05850%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.26,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.440.440.160.290.012658%0.481-0.031090%-0.04
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.040.120.00856%0.1600.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.00685%0.111-0.021100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.03-0.00329%0.0000.0010%-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001342%-0.021-0.02786%0.02
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.050.00850%-0.001-0.0500%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.020.01362%0.012-0.07250%-0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.140.02-0.011133%0.034-0.152100%0.08
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.011236%-0.081-0.041100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.02.634.420.430.02.841.62.818.1179.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +11.8%
ORL +4.7%
ORL +43.4%
ORL +2.9%
MIA -12.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game17.115.915.3112.5105.2106.0
season15.416.2110.1104.4
opponent15.415.9102.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL15.615.916.818.721.517.1
MIA16.415.418.414.912.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Barnes74760.460.040.420.1112-61816.419.3-2.8915.616.9-1.33
Rashard Lewis81820.430.070.370.1410-41416.420.7-4.2315.418.3-2.84
Vince Carter85850.370.130.230.3415-417.315.61.6515.418.8-3.39
Dwight Howard56600.270.230.040.2124-217.616.41.2315.117.2-2.10
Marcin Gortat37340.270.230.040.1251416.717.3-0.6417.914.83.15
Jameer Nelson66670.250.250.010.2215-417.017.4-0.4515.017.7-2.70
Jason Williams29290.240.26-0.020.0951418.016.71.3018.114.93.14
JJ Redick34340.180.32-0.150.21-17-817.616.80.7217.315.12.24
Brandon Bass18180.030.47-0.450.17-511-1619.316.62.6916.715.70.98

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem35370.04-0.550.59-0.167-132016.315.60.6617.317.00.29
Mario Chalmers5048-0.16-0.340.19-0.243-91216.315.40.8517.716.51.27
Joel Anthony2928-0.18-0.320.14-0.04-5-1-415.616.0-0.4515.717.7-1.95
Carlos Arroyo5457-0.23-0.270.05-0.11-4-2-216.515.11.3917.616.31.28
Dorell Wright6563-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.280-6615.117.5-2.3917.216.90.24
Quentin Richardson3737-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.08-71-816.115.70.4416.917.2-0.33
Jermaine O'Neal6868-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-5416.015.60.4517.715.71.95
Dwyane Wade8583-0.550.04-0.59-0.25-104-1415.716.9-1.2016.421.5-5.14
Michael Beasley6259-0.550.04-0.59-0.16-137-2015.616.3-0.6617.017.3-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.16,0.03,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 94, GSW 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.22,0.09,090.5%
WAS 114, CHA 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.04,090.1%
SAC 112, SEA 1060.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.5,0.48,0.61,0.23,0.09,089.8%