NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	124		Excitement	3.0 [1172]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +6.2%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	1.1 [822]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -7.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	87%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	18	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Keon Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	65%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Doug Christie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	93%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	15	68%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	15	62%	0.07	7	-0.07	9	67%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	13	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.04	19	51%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	0.06	17	54%	-0.03	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.02	0.11	15	65%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.5	30.5	17.6	29.7	2.7	29.6	139.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.7%

SAC +7.4%

DAL -2.9%

SAC +9.4%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.0	15.5	121.6	113.0	101.6
season	14.0	15.1		104.4	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	13.7	11.6	15.2	13.5
DAL	15.1	16.3	16.7	11.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-5	21	13.4	14.0	-0.63	15.2	14.4	0.75
Mike Bibby	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-6	23	13.5	13.6	-0.01	15.7	13.7	2.03
Chris Webber	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.06	16	-5	21	13.5	13.7	-0.17	15.4	13.9	1.55
Peja Stojakovic	83	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	-10	31	12.8	16.7	-3.85	15.6	12.2	3.48
Vlade Divac	31	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-7	25	12.9	13.8	-0.93	17.1	14.0	3.07
Jim Jackson	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.15	1	10	-9	13.4	13.7	-0.24	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Bobby Jackson	58	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	9	-7	13.5	13.7	-0.19	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Keon Clark	39	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	15	-19	14.4	13.0	1.31	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Hedo Turkoglu	22	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.30	-8	19	-27	15.2	13.1	2.14	13.5	15.3	-1.79
Gerald Wallace	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	18	-25	14.8	13.5	1.32	6.2	15.4	-9.24
Lawrence Funderburke	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	18	-25	14.8	13.5	1.32	6.2	15.4	-9.24
Scot Pollard	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	17.3	13.3	4.01	6.2	15.5	-9.38

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.33	11	-22	33	11.9	16.1	-4.13	15.2	13.0	2.23
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.34	11	-22	33	12.4	16.3	-3.98	13.6	13.5	0.03
Shawn Bradley	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-5	-1	16.6	14.8	1.80	12.1	13.7	-1.61
Walt Williams	28	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-21	31	13.2	15.7	-2.40	14.2	13.3	0.97
Adrian Griffin	29	30	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-9	7	17.1	14.1	3.04	13.4	13.6	-0.26
Nick Van Exel	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-7	3	15.7	13.5	2.28	14.4	11.9	2.45
Raef LaFrentz	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	15.0	14.9	0.12	12.8	14.1	-1.27
Eduardo Najera	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	4	-19	15.5	14.7	0.83	13.1	13.8	-0.76
Steve Nash	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	14.7	15.7	-1.01	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Michael Finley	77	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	11	-33	15.3	13.9	1.44	13.1	15.4	-2.31
Dirk Nowitzki	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.12	-21	10	-31	15.8	12.2	3.59	13.7	13.2	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DET 95, ATL 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CLE 126, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%