NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	2.8 [1224]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +11.4%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.0 [1218]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -13.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.01	0.06	15	84%	0.14	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	12	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Nene	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	12	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	2	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.09	7	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	16	46%	0.03	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Briante Weber	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	13	30%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	7	79%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	64%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	64%	0.03	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	23	35%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	28.2	15.3	28.0	1.8	23.3	123.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.6%

ORL -1.6%

HOU +5.7%

HOU +4.0%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ORL	NBA	HOU	ORL	NBA
this game	13.5	13.9	14.7	110.5	93.3	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		112.8	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	13.2	12.0	14.8	13.5
ORL	16.9	14.0	12.0	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-5	28	13.9	12.7	1.23	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Trevor Ariza	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	-4	26	13.8	12.9	0.90	13.4	15.1	-1.62
Ryan Anderson	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-2	22	14.0	12.7	1.26	13.7	14.3	-0.61
Clint Capela	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.38	25	-7	32	13.0	14.0	-1.06	14.2	13.6	0.57
Gerald Green	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	9	0	12.9	14.2	-1.24	14.7	13.0	1.72
Eric Gordon	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	9	0	13.5	13.6	-0.14	13.8	14.2	-0.37
Tarik Black	16	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	18	-18	15.0	13.2	1.76	12.6	14.2	-1.52
PJ Tucker	54	53	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	24	-30	13.9	13.1	0.71	13.9	14.0	-0.11
Briante Weber	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	23	-28	12.7	13.9	-1.23	15.3	13.2	2.09
Nene	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	22	-26	12.7	13.8	-1.17	15.1	13.5	1.63
Bobby Brown	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	11.7	13.6	-1.89	9.0	14.0	-5.02

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	35	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-27	36	12.8	14.5	-1.64	14.0	13.2	0.81
Arron Afflalo	38	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-20	22	15.1	13.3	1.77	13.7	13.4	0.36
Marreese Speights	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-12	6	15.1	13.3	1.76	12.1	14.2	-2.12
Khem Birch	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-14	10	12.5	14.2	-1.68	14.1	13.4	0.66
D.J. Augustin	19	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-13	8	18.5	12.9	5.56	12.2	13.8	-1.55
Jonathon Simmons	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-12	6	14.0	13.9	0.06	14.4	13.1	1.30
Mario Hezonja	63	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-14	10	14.1	13.6	0.47	13.1	14.0	-0.85
Wes Iwundu	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-14	10	14.4	13.4	1.05	13.5	13.5	0.07
Bismack Biyombo	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	-2	-14	14.3	13.7	0.57	13.6	13.5	0.12
Elfrid Payton	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.29	-22	4	-26	13.0	14.8	-1.83	13.6	13.4	0.14
Aaron Gordon	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-4	-10	12.9	16.2	-3.30	13.9	12.5	1.36
Evan Fournier	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	2	-22	13.3	15.1	-1.77	13.4	13.7	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	97.1%
DET 105, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAC 124, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%