NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	2.5 [1254]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +11.6%
Atlanta Hawks	68		Comeback	1.0 [645]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (DET): -9.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	10	91%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	11	42%	0.03	4	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	56%	0.00	1	-0.00	7	14%	-0.06
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	4	30%	-0.04	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	0.00	-0.06	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	12	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	16	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	16	46%	-0.04	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.2	14.8	26.2	2.4	29.6	128.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.3%

ATL -2.5%

DET +6.9%

DET +2.8%

DET +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	17.2	15.5	111.8	80.0	104.0
season	16.7	15.6		103.5	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.9		108.1	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.5	18.6	17.9	16.0	16.7
ATL	17.6	13.5	20.9	17.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	45	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.48	34	-7	41	15.7	17.8	-2.11	18.0	16.3	1.69
Carlos Delfino	73	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	8	11	15.8	21.7	-5.83	17.3	16.8	0.48
Ben Wallace	41	41	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.46	31	-4	35	16.0	17.3	-1.32	19.1	15.4	3.71
Chauncey Billups	34	33	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.43	30	-3	33	14.9	17.9	-3.01	19.6	15.7	3.89
Darko Milicic	53	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.42	26	1	25	16.2	17.4	-1.20	18.8	14.7	4.13
Antonio McDyess	34	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	24	-21	17.6	16.1	1.50	15.0	18.8	-3.83
Lindsey Hunter	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	19	-11	19.7	15.5	4.16	14.9	18.0	-3.18
Carlos Arroyo	51	52	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	30	-33	17.9	14.9	3.01	15.7	19.6	-3.89
Ronald Dupree	33	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	31	-35	17.2	16.3	0.90	16.2	17.8	-1.56
Elden Campbell	38	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	36	-45	17.7	15.9	1.81	16.1	18.1	-1.93

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-30	33	17.1	17.3	-0.23	18.0	16.0	2.05
Donta Smith	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-22	17	16.7	17.8	-1.14	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Boris Diaw	50	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-27	27	16.4	18.4	-1.95	17.6	15.5	2.08
Michael Stewart	14	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.31	-16	-11	-5	18.5	17.0	1.53	20.2	15.8	4.35
Predrag Drobnjak	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.12	-12	-15	3	17.4	17.1	0.29	14.5	17.8	-3.25
Tom Gugliotta	18	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	-14	1	19.4	16.6	2.75	14.2	17.4	-3.15
Jason Collier	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-13	-1	17.6	16.6	1.01	17.3	15.6	1.69
Tyronn Lue	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.29	-24	-3	-21	17.0	17.5	-0.50	16.1	17.2	-1.15
Josh Childress	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.36	-27	0	-27	17.3	16.9	0.43	16.5	17.4	-0.90
Josh Smith	76	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	0	-27	17.1	18.2	-1.12	16.5	18.2	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
ORL 103, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	96.6%
CLE 126, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%