NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	7.3 [367]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +15.6%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	5.2 [181]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -12.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.01	0.14	-0.03	4	75%	0.20	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	19	64%	0.16	2	-0.07	17	65%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,-0.01,0.09,0.03,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	23	64%	0.24	6	-0.17	10	70%	-0.01
Devean George	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	23	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	17	65%	0.11	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	527.7	3.0	34.1	19.8	29.2	3.4	41.4	658.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.1%

LAL +6.5%

LAL +18.3%

NJN -13.6%

NJN -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	13.8	15.6	112.8	109.6	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		106.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		98.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	18.2	17.8	16.7	16.8
NJN	12.8	14.5	14.1	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	62	63	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.39	14	-11	25	15.9	18.6	-2.64	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Brian Shaw	32	32	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-4	11	17.2	16.6	0.51	15.9	12.7	3.16
Kobe Bryant	91	91	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	2	-1	16.7	20.7	-3.97	13.4	25.7	-12.24
Shaquille O'Neal	81	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	1	1	17.1	14.8	2.29	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Devean George	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	9	-15	17.3	16.3	0.99	14.2	13.4	0.82
Samaki Walker	13	14	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	2	-1	14.8	17.1	-2.29	14.4	13.7	0.72
Rick Fox	73	73	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	2	-1	16.8	16.8	0.07	13.6	14.6	-1.03
Lindsey Hunter	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	20.7	16.7	3.97	25.7	13.4	12.24
Derek Fisher	62	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	7	-11	16.6	17.2	-0.51	12.7	15.9	-3.16
Slava Medvedenko	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	6	-9	21.3	16.5	4.83	14.5	13.8	0.73

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	43	42	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.14	13	-16	29	14.6	13.2	1.40	16.5	17.1	-0.58
Lucious Harris	37	37	0.47	-0.97	1.45	0.15	11	-14	25	15.2	12.9	2.26	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Aaron Williams	13	14	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.18	0	-3	3	14.3	13.7	0.57	17.1	16.8	0.38
Anthony Johnson	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	19.0	13.3	5.73	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Todd MacCulloch	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	4	-11	13.0	14.2	-1.17	16.5	17.0	-0.49
Jason Kidd	85	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-5	7	13.3	19.0	-5.73	16.9	16.0	0.91
Kenyon Martin	85	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-5	7	13.3	19.0	-5.73	16.9	16.0	0.91
Jason Collins	53	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.63	4	-7	11	14.1	13.4	0.72	16.9	16.7	0.22
Kerry Kittles	57	57	-0.97	0.47	-1.45	-0.56	-14	11	-25	12.9	15.2	-2.26	17.1	16.4	0.68
Keith Van Horn	60	61	-1.13	0.63	-1.77	-0.52	-21	18	-39	14.0	13.4	0.64	16.9	16.6	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.5,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.37,0.16,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 116, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.18,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.83,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.38,0.04,0.02,0.02,0	89.4%
ATL 89, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.65,0.61,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.15,0	89.1%
ORL 96, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.38,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.57,0	89.1%