NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	116		Excitement	7.6 [374]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +18.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	4.9 [117]		LVP	Malcolm Brogdon (MIL): -21.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18	0.11	0.12	0.05	16	65%	0.23	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Garrett Temple	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.15	-0.00	9	50%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	8	68%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	60%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.10	-0.05	0.01	18	71%	0.17	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01
Yuta Watanabe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.01	14	77%	0.36	6	-0.20	12	92%	0.05
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.00	11	58%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	9	73%	0.14	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.06	0.02	16	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	25.5	15.3	27.3	2.4	39.0	137.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.5%

MIL -13.7%

MEM +5.6%

MEM +15.0%

MEM +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIL	NBA	MEM	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	12.7	14.3	117.2	114.1	109.3
season	15.4	13.5		105.4	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.2		104.0	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	16.8	15.6	18.5	16.4
MIL	15.3	10.9	13.8	11.3	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	76	79	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.40	13	-10	23	16.6	15.7	0.91	12.9	12.0	0.86
Marc Gasol	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-6	15	16.3	16.4	-0.03	12.7	12.8	-0.14
Kyle Anderson	81	80	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	2	-1	16.7	14.8	1.93	12.5	13.8	-1.30
Shelvin Mack	57	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	4	-5	16.5	16.1	0.45	12.2	13.6	-1.37
Wayne Selden	45	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	4	-5	16.3	16.4	-0.04	13.0	12.5	0.54
Yuta Watanabe	17	15	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	16.2	16.4	-0.21	13.7	12.6	1.10
Jaren Jackson Jr.	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	15.5	16.7	-1.22	13.3	12.4	0.90
MarShon Brooks	34	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	4	-5	15.5	16.8	-1.26	14.1	12.1	1.96
Mike Conley	75	75	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	10	-17	16.4	16.2	0.19	12.1	14.7	-2.66

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thon Maker	19	20	0.60	-1.10	1.71	0.11	17	-20	37	11.7	13.0	-1.30	16.4	16.3	0.06
Tony Snell	35	37	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.12	14	-17	31	12.4	12.9	-0.48	16.3	16.4	-0.09
Eric Bledsoe	62	65	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.11	16	-19	35	11.8	14.3	-2.45	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Pat Connaughton	59	56	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.50	21	-24	45	11.7	14.2	-2.54	17.1	15.3	1.78
John Henson	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	4	-11	14.2	12.6	1.62	14.4	16.6	-2.24
Donte DiVincenzo	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	4	-11	14.0	12.5	1.45	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Brook Lopez	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	5	-13	13.7	11.8	1.90	16.5	16.2	0.26
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.51	4	-7	11	12.4	13.6	-1.16	16.4	16.2	0.21
Ersan Ilyasova	53	48	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.40	-16	13	-29	13.2	12.2	0.93	16.7	16.0	0.69
Khris Middleton	67	65	-1.06	0.56	-1.61	-0.50	-19	16	-35	12.8	12.5	0.30	16.5	16.1	0.40
Malcolm Brogdon	55	55	-1.20	0.70	-1.90	-0.32	-30	27	-57	13.9	11.3	2.55	16.1	16.6	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.18,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.83,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.38,0.04,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.5,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.37,0.16,0.17,0	89.4%
DAL 96, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.23,0.04,0.02,0	89.1%
WAS 111, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.19,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	88.8%