NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	2.7 [1185]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +2.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	90		Comeback	1.1 [572]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -11.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	21	57%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	65%	0.05	4	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	13	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	11	46%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	61%	0.02	3	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	55%	0.02	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	0.09	11	64%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	13	27%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	24	44%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	20	43%	-0.01	5	-0.07	6	33%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	0.00	-0.05	9	18%	-0.09	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	543.9	3.3	31.3	20.0	27.3	3.6	41.5	671.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.6%

SAC +3.5%

SAC +4.1%

LAL -1.1%

SAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.6	104.0	90.0	102.3
season	14.2	15.3		106.6	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	16.8	15.3	15.1	15.3
LAL	14.7	15.2	16.0	9.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	94	95	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-4	21	15.2	16.6	-1.39	13.5	16.2	-2.66
Doug Christie	90	91	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-3	19	14.8	20.0	-5.19	13.7	13.8	-0.12
Hedo Turkoglu	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.30	27	-14	41	15.5	14.6	0.91	15.1	9.5	5.58
Vlade Divac	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	3	7	14.9	16.7	-1.73	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Mike Bibby	94	94	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	2	9	15.5	10.8	4.72	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Scot Pollard	13	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	14	-15	15.8	15.2	0.65	15.0	13.5	1.55
Bobby Jackson	51	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.46	-15	28	-43	15.8	14.7	1.16	12.2	15.3	-3.16

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	47	48	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.51	20	-33	53	12.4	14.8	-2.47	16.4	14.3	2.12
Mark Madsen	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	4.0	13.9	-9.87	27.0	15.2	11.84
Slava Medvedenko	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	4.0	13.9	-9.87	27.0	15.2	11.84
Lindsey Hunter	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-25	37	11.9	15.3	-3.39	15.6	15.0	0.68
Devean George	56	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-19	25	12.6	15.0	-2.42	15.9	14.6	1.29
Samaki Walker	18	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.26	-18	5	-23	16.1	13.1	2.91	15.1	15.3	-0.28
Shaquille O'Neal	84	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-11	9	13.6	14.2	-0.62	15.3	15.2	0.04
Rick Fox	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	4	-21	14.9	12.6	2.27	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Robert Horry	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	5	-23	15.2	10.9	4.26	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Derek Fisher	48	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.38	-29	16	-45	14.5	12.9	1.56	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Kobe Bryant	85	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.01	-19	6	-25	13.9	12.6	1.26	14.3	21.0	-6.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 132, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
NOP 99, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIN 123, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.6%