NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	123		Excitement	2.6 [1191]		MVP	Malik Sealy (MIN): +11.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	1.0 [540]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -7.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.01	12	74%	0.11	1	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	6	108%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	19	63%	0.07	4	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	0.00	0.13	7	85%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	35	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	16	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.4	15.3	28.6	2.3	35.7	135.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.1%

MIN +0.3%

PHI -4.7%

MIN +4.1%

MIN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.2	133.7	124.4	101.7
season	15.1	15.0		103.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		98.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	17.6	16.6	17.7	16.5
PHI	18.1	15.1	14.7	12.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	85	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-4	19	16.6	15.4	1.12	15.0	17.2	-2.29
Sam Mitchell	59	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-5	21	16.2	17.0	-0.83	15.4	14.8	0.55
Kevin Garnett	83	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	10	-9	16.8	13.0	3.84	15.2	14.3	0.96
Joe Smith	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-2	15	16.9	15.9	1.03	14.5	16.1	-1.55
Anthony Peeler	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	1	9	15.6	17.2	-1.58	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Malik Sealy	73	71	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.28	-1	12	-13	17.0	14.6	2.38	14.4	18.0	-3.59
Rasho Nesterovic	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	15.9	16.8	-0.87	16.9	14.1	2.80
Dean Garrett	19	17	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	9	-7	15.9	16.6	-0.66	15.8	15.0	0.74
William Avery	7	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	15	-19	15.4	16.6	-1.12	17.2	15.0	2.29
Bobby Jackson	5	4	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	13	-15	14.8	16.6	-1.76	17.7	15.0	2.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	8.0	15.3	-7.33	24.5	16.3	8.21
Bruce Bowen	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	3.0	15.3	-12.30	9.0	16.6	-7.63
Larry Hughes	43	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.50	15	-26	41	13.5	16.7	-3.17	17.2	15.7	1.50
Billy Owens	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-6	1	18.8	14.6	4.23	15.5	16.6	-1.05
Aaron McKie	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-12	13	14.6	15.8	-1.12	17.2	15.6	1.66
Matt Geiger	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-13	15	15.4	14.6	0.86	16.0	17.4	-1.44
Theo Ratliff	21	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.36	-23	12	-35	16.0	14.9	1.09	15.9	16.7	-0.79
Tyrone Hill	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-9	7	14.8	16.2	-1.40	16.5	16.3	0.22
Eric Snow	49	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	6	-23	15.3	15.0	0.40	15.9	17.1	-1.22
George Lynch	62	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	5	-21	16.3	12.6	3.66	16.9	15.5	1.44
Allen Iverson	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	2	-15	15.0	16.7	-1.74	16.2	19.2	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
SAS 113, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
GSW 132, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%