NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	2.6 [1227]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +8.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	1.1 [338]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -7.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	14	49%	0.07	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	14	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	11	50%	0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.01	0.07	16	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Franklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	4	70%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	0.00	0.11	4	112%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.2	31.4	14.8	28.1	2.5	29.5	130.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +24.0%

NOP +8.6%

NOP +8.8%

NOP +8.0%

NOP +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	15.1	111.2	96.6	105.2
season	15.5	16.4		105.6	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.7	16.3	18.0	17.0	16.2
MEM	17.7	17.2	17.1	14.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	57	57	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-4	23	15.4	17.5	-2.09	17.1	15.4	1.69
Eric Gordon	65	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	-4	23	15.9	17.1	-1.22	15.8	18.5	-2.71
Jason Smith	55	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	9	-3	15.6	17.1	-1.55	16.5	16.6	-0.13
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	2	11	16.3	16.0	0.31	17.3	15.8	1.46
Anthony Davis	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.22	4	11	-7	15.9	17.0	-1.14	16.8	15.6	1.16
Greg Stiemsma	45	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.21	17	-2	19	16.6	15.7	0.87	16.4	16.6	-0.19
Tyreke Evans	56	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	18	-21	17.2	14.5	2.76	15.1	18.9	-3.77
Anthony Morrow	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	15	-15	17.2	15.9	1.37	16.5	16.5	0.01
Brian Roberts	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	16	-17	16.9	15.9	0.97	18.1	15.8	2.26
Lance Thomas	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	12	-9	17.1	16.1	1.03	17.3	16.5	0.81
Austin Rivers	1	0	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	17	-19	1.0	16.4	-15.36	0.0	16.5	-16.54

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Franklin	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-29	43	14.1	17.2	-3.18	17.4	15.8	1.62
Nick Calathes	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-21	27	12.4	17.9	-5.48	17.2	15.9	1.31
Kosta Koufos	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-24	33	15.4	17.2	-1.74	16.2	16.2	0.04
Jerryd Bayless	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-10	5	16.3	16.6	-0.34	17.1	15.9	1.22
Tony Allen	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-11	7	18.3	15.2	3.15	16.5	16.0	0.49
Jon Leuer	23	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	-5	-5	16.0	16.7	-0.68	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Ed Davis	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-17	19	15.7	17.3	-1.60	17.8	14.6	3.22
Zach Randolph	16	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-5	-5	17.6	16.3	1.33	13.2	16.8	-3.60
Mike Miller	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-10	5	15.2	18.0	-2.79	16.4	16.0	0.41
Tayshaun Prince	30	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-9	3	18.0	15.8	2.23	15.0	16.8	-1.81
Quincy Pondexter	30	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.24	-22	7	-29	16.2	16.7	-0.47	15.7	16.5	-0.83
Marc Gasol	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	4	-23	17.7	14.5	3.23	15.8	16.8	-1.04
Mike Conley	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	10	-35	18.2	12.9	5.24	15.7	17.2	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.8%
CLE 105, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
CHI 109, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%