NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	3.4 [1125]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +7.8%
Sacramento Kings	88		Comeback	1.2 [814]		LVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): -11.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	11	63%	0.08	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	15	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	69%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	10	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Ben Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	16	53%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	19	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	7	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	14	53%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	31.6	15.8	29.1	2.6	29.0	136.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.8%

SAC -12.2%

CHI +6.4%

CHI +20.7%

SAC -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.5	113.5	91.7	106.4
season	14.8	15.0		106.3	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		112.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	16.0	14.1	16.7	15.4
SAC	14.3	14.7	14.1	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.27	25	-4	29	14.4	18.5	-4.15	14.7	14.0	0.71
Joakim Noah	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	2	17	14.9	16.7	-1.79	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Derrick Rose	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	5	11	16.5	13.8	2.66	14.8	14.2	0.64
Tyrus Thomas	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	8	5	15.5	15.4	0.11	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Kirk Hinrich	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	7	7	14.0	16.6	-2.60	14.8	14.4	0.43
Thabo Sefolosha	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	20	-19	15.9	15.0	0.87	13.6	15.4	-1.85
Ben Gordon	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	12	-3	16.0	14.4	1.62	14.7	14.2	0.50
Aaron Gray	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	15	-9	16.4	15.1	1.26	14.9	14.5	0.42
Andres Nocioni	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	15	-9	15.0	15.6	-0.55	15.3	14.3	1.06
Lindsey Hunter	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	18.1	15.2	2.93	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Cedric Simmons	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	18.1	15.2	2.93	13.8	14.6	-0.79

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	13.8	14.6	-0.79	18.1	15.2	2.93
Shelden Williams	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-20	19	15.3	14.5	0.84	15.8	15.4	0.39
Bobby Jackson	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-16	11	13.8	14.6	-0.79	18.3	15.2	3.10
Bobby Brown	24	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.21	-12	-9	-3	16.2	14.0	2.18	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Brad Miller	46	46	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-19	17	13.9	15.2	-1.23	15.6	15.3	0.31
Mikki Moore	10	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-12	3	13.2	14.7	-1.53	17.6	15.2	2.35
Beno Udrih	53	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-13	5	14.3	14.9	-0.65	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Francisco Garcia	47	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-6	-9	14.9	14.3	0.63	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Spencer Hawes	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.17	-16	-5	-11	15.1	14.2	0.92	15.6	15.3	0.32
Jason Thompson	81	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-9	-3	14.6	14.2	0.44	15.1	17.2	-2.09
Kevin Martin	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-14	7	14.0	16.3	-2.33	15.1	16.4	-1.27
John Salmons	84	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	-1	-19	14.8	12.9	1.89	15.7	13.9	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 99, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAL 130, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 119, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%