NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	6.8 [449]		MVP	George Lynch (PHI): +13.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.2 [486]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -28.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.13	-0.02	-0.01	12	77%	0.17	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	9	75%	0.16	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	29	52%	0.09	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Morris Peterson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Childs	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.01	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	7	45%	-0.04	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.29,-0.37,-0.41,-0.41,-0.28	-0.28	-0.17	-0.08	0.03	34	43%	-0.19	4	-0.09	15	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	36.1	19.7	32.1	2.7	43.3	161.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.3%

TOR +8.7%

TOR +10.3%

PHI -2.2%

TOR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	15.5	99.0	97.9	100.9
season	15.8	15.7		103.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	15.1	17.2	19.1	16.3
PHI	13.6	14.2	13.3	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	95	93	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	16.3	13.5	2.82	13.8	10.5	3.28
Alvin Williams	84	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	16.2	16.4	-0.15	13.5	15.3	-1.84
Charles Oakley	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	16.9	14.9	1.99	13.5	14.3	-0.81
Dell Curry	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	4	-5	17.0	14.5	2.54	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Antonio Davis	82	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	0	3	16.8	13.2	3.62	14.0	11.7	2.25
Keon Clark	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	-2	7	14.5	16.8	-2.39	15.7	13.1	2.55
Chris Childs	45	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	15.0	17.3	-2.35	14.3	13.2	1.13
Morris Peterson	1	0	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	1.0	16.4	-15.42	0.0	13.7	-13.72
Eric Montross	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	16.3	16.2	0.09	12.7	13.8	-1.12
Jerome Williams	9	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	8	-13	12.9	16.6	-3.71	7.9	14.2	-6.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-3	3	10.3	14.0	-3.70	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Kevin Ollie	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-3	3	10.7	14.0	-3.37	13.4	16.5	-3.10
George Lynch	38	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-9	15	13.5	13.9	-0.36	16.7	16.0	0.72
Rodney Buford	1	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-3	3	4.0	13.8	-9.82	1.0	16.6	-15.58
Matt Geiger	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	10.3	14.1	-3.74	13.8	16.5	-2.73
Jumaine Jones	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	1	-5	14.6	13.5	1.08	15.6	16.4	-0.84
Eric Snow	76	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	13.2	15.8	-2.59	16.1	16.9	-0.86
Tyrone Hill	68	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	4	-11	14.9	10.8	4.10	16.8	14.7	2.10
Dikembe Mutombo	86	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-2	1	14.3	8.6	5.70	16.9	10.9	5.97
Aaron McKie	67	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	1	-5	13.7	13.8	-0.15	16.3	16.0	0.30
Allen Iverson	95	96	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	2	-7	13.7	0.0	13.72	16.2	22.0	-5.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.21,0.16,0.27,0.1,0.21,0.05,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.07,0.22,0.15,0.15,0	94.1%
DEN 108, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.09,0.17,0	93.8%
LAC 102, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.06,0,0	93.7%