NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	7.5 [306]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +9.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.6 [715]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -20.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	22	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	14	71%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	8	78%	0.06	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	18	48%	-0.07	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	11	28%	-0.09	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.1,0,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	32	53%	-0.00	2	-0.05	19	53%	-0.17
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.03	0.01	23	51%	0.04	5	-0.12	11	82%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	7	29%	-0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	2.8	29.1	18.8	27.5	2.7	39.8	152.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.7%

SAC -18.8%

LAL +22.9%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	15.5	104.0	108.0	100.9
season	14.4	15.6		103.1	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.8	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	13.1	13.8	14.8	13.8
LAL	15.9	12.2	15.0	17.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	22	23	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	16.1	13.1	3.02	16.2	14.5	1.67
Jon Barry	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	13.7	13.8	-0.12	12.8	15.1	-2.32
Vlade Divac	53	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-5	7	13.7	13.9	-0.20	15.8	13.8	2.02
Peja Stojakovic	85	87	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-5	7	13.3	16.2	-2.87	15.2	12.7	2.53
Scot Pollard	43	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-1	-1	15.0	12.9	2.14	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Doug Christie	78	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	13.2	15.7	-2.43	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Hedo Turkoglu	47	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	3	-9	14.1	13.4	0.70	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Chris Webber	89	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.0	12.3	1.63	15.4	11.0	4.42
Jason Williams	79	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	5	-13	13.1	16.1	-3.02	14.5	16.2	-1.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	92	92	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	0	3	15.2	11.5	3.68	13.9	12.9	0.97
Kobe Bryant	84	85	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.39	-1	4	-5	14.5	16.7	-2.21	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Shaquille O'Neal	88	90	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	0	3	15.2	12.6	2.62	14.5	7.5	6.99
Tyronn Lue	16	16	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-5	13	14.9	14.9	-0.02	13.9	13.7	0.20
Brian Shaw	29	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	-1	5	13.9	15.3	-1.35	14.2	13.6	0.56
Robert Horry	35	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	2	-1	16.2	14.2	1.97	13.1	14.2	-1.13
Horace Grant	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	3	-3	14.5	15.7	-1.23	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Derek Fisher	84	85	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	8	-13	14.9	14.9	0.02	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Mark Madsen	3	2	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	9.7	15.1	-5.38	7.5	13.9	-6.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	93.6%
DET 85, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.5%
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.4%