NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	5.7 [655]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +14.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	2.1 [708]		LVP	Mark Jackson (TOR): -11.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	14	66%	0.15	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Alvin Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	8	81%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	3	89%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	17	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	31%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	22	60%	0.17	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	12	54%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	73%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	13	43%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	25.4	15.5	23.5	1.7	36.4	127.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +15.1%

MIL +15.0%

MIL +0.6%

MIL +14.6%

MIL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.5	103.2	109.5	100.9
season	15.8	14.9		103.7	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	18.1	19.4	13.7	16.2
MIL	13.3	14.6	14.9	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	57	57	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-10	13	17.7	13.9	3.76	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Corliss Williamson	51	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-9	11	17.3	15.0	2.25	13.2	15.5	-2.28
Dell Curry	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-12	17	12.9	17.2	-4.33	15.6	13.8	1.79
Kevin Willis	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-6	5	16.3	16.2	0.15	15.2	13.8	1.32
Morris Peterson	40	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	14.7	17.3	-2.56	15.5	13.4	2.16
Mark Jackson	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	2	-11	16.9	14.9	2.00	13.4	16.1	-2.72
Antonio Davis	77	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	16.6	14.3	2.36	14.6	12.5	2.13
Charles Oakley	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	0	-7	15.8	18.8	-3.01	13.6	17.9	-4.28
Alvin Williams	50	51	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.26	-15	8	-23	15.3	17.3	-2.02	15.0	13.4	1.59

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	14.3	14.0	0.34	16.8	14.0	2.80
Tim Thomas	50	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-2	11	14.2	14.4	-0.18	15.5	17.1	-1.58
Lindsey Hunter	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	1	5	15.3	13.2	2.05	14.6	17.8	-3.25
Ervin Johnson	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	2	3	14.4	14.1	0.32	15.8	16.7	-0.99
Jason Caffey	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-1	9	14.4	14.0	0.44	18.1	13.4	4.69
Scott Williams	22	22	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-1	9	17.0	13.5	3.50	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Glenn Robinson	77	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	10	-13	13.5	17.6	-4.06	15.9	17.4	-1.56
Sam Cassell	72	70	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.27	-8	15	-23	13.8	15.7	-1.89	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Joel Przybilla	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	12.9	14.8	-1.85	17.7	15.7	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 86, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
OKC 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.96,1	93.9%