NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	6.5 [480]		MVP	Eddie Robinson (CHH): +21.2%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	1.6 [672]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -30.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	-0.01	0.03	23	70%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	12	58%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	20	49%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	32%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.00	14	22%	-0.19	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	13	77%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.01	14	57%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	19	33%	-0.20	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	26.4	15.8	21.0	1.8	27.2	118.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -2.6%

CHH +24.1%

CHH +27.9%

CHH +0.8%

MIL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.5	92.8	100.0	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		105.9	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	13.2	15.1	15.1	14.3
CHH	13.9	14.5	14.3	17.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	25	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-11	12	13.2	14.7	-1.45	14.5	15.1	-0.63
Darvin Ham	41	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-8	6	14.2	14.3	-0.14	14.0	15.7	-1.70
Sam Cassell	72	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-5	0	13.9	15.2	-1.30	15.0	14.7	0.30
Tim Thomas	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	0	-10	14.4	14.2	0.18	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Lindsey Hunter	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	14.4	14.2	0.24	15.5	14.4	1.14
Jason Caffey	46	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-6	2	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.6	15.3	-0.78
Ervin Johnson	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	14.6	13.7	0.97	14.6	15.4	-0.75
Glenn Robinson	73	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	14.5	13.6	0.92	15.5	13.3	2.18
Ray Allen	82	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	14.3	14.2	0.09	15.2	13.5	1.75

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	60	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-1	12	15.9	13.5	2.33	14.7	13.6	1.07
P.J. Brown	71	68	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	2	6	15.5	13.7	1.73	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Jamal Mashburn	76	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	15.1	14.6	0.48	13.8	15.8	-2.01
David Wesley	84	83	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	14.9	15.1	-0.13	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Elden Campbell	68	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	6	-2	15.4	14.0	1.40	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Jamaal Magloire	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	4	2	14.0	15.4	-1.40	15.4	13.7	1.73
Eddie Robinson	37	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	8	-6	14.1	15.5	-1.42	14.6	14.1	0.55
Tim James	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	7	-4	14.6	15.1	-0.48	15.8	13.8	2.01
Otis Thorpe	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	8	-6	13.7	15.5	-1.73	14.8	14.1	0.73
Hersey Hawkins	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	9	-8	13.8	15.2	-1.37	12.7	14.7	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, NOK 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIA 83, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
DET 85, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1	94.4%