NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	84		Excitement	7.3 [341]		MVP	Calvin Booth (DAL): +24.8%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	20.1 [39]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -45.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calvin Booth	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.25	-0.01	0.25	-0.00	2	50%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0	0.10	-0.10	-0.01	24	63%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.08,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	11	39%	0.10	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	0.00	-0.14	0.01	11	56%	-0.13	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.06
Juwan Howard	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	15	49%	-0.11	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Benoit	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.14	-0.01	12	54%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.00	7	61%	-0.05	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.04
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	7	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.16,-0.45	-0.45	-0.17	-0.30	-0.01	28	37%	-0.29	2	-0.16	8	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.4	31.2	19.8	31.2	2.4	30.9	147.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +61.0%

UTA -1.1%

UTA -7.7%

UTA -8.1%

DAL +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	17.6	17.3	15.5	102.4	100.0	100.9
season	15.2	16.0		104.6	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		100.5	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.6	17.9	16.2	20.3	17.6
UTA	17.7	15.7	16.5	19.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	60	62	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.43	16	-15	31	17.7	17.3	0.48	18.2	14.7	3.45
Juwan Howard	77	78	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-7	15	17.6	18.6	-1.04	17.9	8.4	9.46
Calvin Booth	33	32	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.56	3	-2	5	18.5	17.0	1.44	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Michael Finley	82	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	17.6	0.0	17.62	17.3	0.0	17.29
Steve Nash	71	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	0	1	18.1	14.8	3.24	17.4	16.7	0.70
Howard Eisley	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	4	-7	16.4	18.0	-1.60	15.6	17.9	-2.30
Vernon Maxwell	9	9	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	11	-21	19.0	17.5	1.55	14.0	17.7	-3.69
Shawn Bradley	57	56	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	12	-23	16.8	19.6	-2.85	16.9	18.0	-1.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	20	19	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-9	17	15.7	17.8	-2.03	18.0	17.5	0.49
John Crotty	6	8	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.07	1	-2	3	9.5	17.9	-8.40	18.1	17.6	0.56
Olden Polynice	48	49	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	1	-3	17.5	17.1	0.40	16.8	18.8	-2.05
Jacque Vaughn	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	17.6	17.3	0.30	14.6	17.9	-3.32
David Benoit	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	3	-7	15.8	17.4	-1.57	14.8	17.8	-3.01
Danny Manning	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-2	3	18.2	16.9	1.33	19.5	16.6	2.91
John Starks	32	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	3	-7	16.5	17.8	-1.28	16.5	18.3	-1.78
Bryon Russell	77	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-2	3	17.3	17.0	0.31	17.8	14.8	3.01
Donyell Marshall	58	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-2	3	17.4	17.0	0.36	18.0	16.8	1.14
John Stockton	68	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.58	0	-1	1	17.9	14.3	3.61	17.9	16.4	1.55
Karl Malone	64	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	4	-9	17.7	16.0	1.67	17.6	17.8	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.77,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.66,0.63,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.72,0	91.6%
CLE 123, PHI 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	91.6%
MIL 93, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.57,0	91.3%