NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	3.8 [1025]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +12.3%
New York Knicks	74		Comeback	1.2 [513]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -16.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.02	18	62%	0.17	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	22	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	2	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.14	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	7	31%	-0.02	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	14	57%	0.03	3	-0.03	12	75%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	8	67%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	11	45%	-0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	12	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	33.0	19.8	28.0	2.8	32.3	140.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.0%

TOR +6.3%

TOR +8.4%

NYK -2.7%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.5	104.4	82.2	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		103.7	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.2	17.7	15.3	19.5	16.6
NYK	16.5	15.0	16.7	13.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	80	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.22	26	-6	32	17.2	12.3	4.86	16.3	9.2	7.17
Charles Oakley	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-1	22	17.6	13.6	3.98	16.1	13.1	2.92
Vince Carter	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	0	20	17.1	14.8	2.34	16.7	11.0	5.71
Antonio Davis	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	1	18	17.1	14.7	2.46	16.0	13.2	2.74
Chris Childs	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	7	6	15.6	18.2	-2.54	16.4	13.8	2.63
Dell Curry	18	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	14	-8	13.1	17.5	-4.39	11.9	16.3	-4.35
Jerome Williams	33	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	19	-18	18.5	15.5	3.04	12.8	16.9	-4.15
Tracy Murray	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	10.0	17.3	-7.27	9.0	16.1	-7.09
Michael Stewart	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	10.0	17.3	-7.27	8.6	16.0	-7.41
Keon Clark	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	19	-18	17.9	16.2	1.67	16.6	15.0	1.67
Morris Peterson	17	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	21	-22	13.8	17.3	-3.45	10.9	16.4	-5.47

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	10.2	16.0	-5.83	10.8	17.3	-6.49
Rick Brunson	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	10.2	16.0	-5.83	10.8	17.3	-6.49
Charlie Ward	20	19	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-13	6	16.0	15.2	0.80	17.9	16.3	1.68
Glen Rice	44	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-11	2	14.2	16.5	-2.34	18.3	14.9	3.35
Othella Harrington	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-17	14	14.1	16.2	-2.16	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Marcus Camby	55	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-5	-10	16.5	13.7	2.82	17.8	14.7	3.08
Mark Jackson	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-9	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.58	15.8	19.2	-3.45
Latrell Sprewell	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-4	-12	16.2	12.3	3.89	17.0	15.3	1.68
Kurt Thomas	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	-1	-18	16.0	11.8	4.22	17.1	14.1	2.98
Allan Houston	61	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	2	-24	15.9	14.3	1.63	15.9	18.2	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 92, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIL 94, MIA 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%