NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	4.5 [935]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +11.6%
New York Knicks	77		Comeback	1.2 [1208]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -14.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	15	73%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Josh Howard	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	18	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.04	9	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Maurice Ager	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	10	32%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.03	0.08	14	63%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	20	42%	-0.09	2	-0.06	12	33%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	29.4	17.4	27.4	2.5	29.2	132.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +48.6%

DAL +16.2%

NYK -3.0%

NYK -8.3%

NYK -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	16.9	15.4	108.2	90.6	104.5
season	16.3	15.7		108.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	17.8	17.8	18.5	17.0
NYK	17.1	18.2	15.0	17.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	1	13	16.5	19.3	-2.76	17.7	13.3	4.42
Devin Harris	65	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	-1	17	17.0	16.8	0.17	18.1	12.1	5.99
Dirk Nowitzki	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-1	17	17.0	17.0	-0.09	17.6	14.8	2.82
Josh Howard	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	4	7	16.8	17.9	-1.08	16.6	18.3	-1.73
Erick Dampier	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	8	-1	17.2	16.6	0.58	18.9	13.3	5.57
Austin Croshere	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	9	-3	16.7	17.1	-0.41	13.3	19.2	-5.84
Jerry Stackhouse	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	10	-5	17.2	16.8	0.38	14.1	18.7	-4.55
DeSagana Diop	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	14	-13	16.9	17.0	-0.11	15.0	17.5	-2.45
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	20.2	16.8	3.44	10.2	17.2	-6.98
Jose Juan Barea	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	20.0	16.9	3.13	7.0	17.1	-10.14
Maurice Ager	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	16	-17	18.6	16.8	1.82	19.9	16.6	3.28

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-14	13	16.7	17.0	-0.32	18.5	16.5	1.99
Mardy Collins	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	10.2	17.2	-6.98	20.2	16.8	3.44
Nate Robinson	51	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-14	13	16.5	17.5	-0.94	17.7	15.9	1.76
Renaldo Balkman	52	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-11	7	16.3	17.8	-1.49	18.1	15.2	2.92
Eddy Curry	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-8	1	18.6	11.3	7.33	16.7	17.7	-1.01
Channing Frye	38	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-3	-9	16.9	16.9	-0.07	15.3	18.3	-2.96
Jared Jeffries	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	0	-15	17.1	16.4	0.68	17.3	16.2	1.10
Stephon Marbury	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	2	-19	15.8	22.3	-6.44	16.5	19.4	-2.94
Steve Francis	62	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.05	-19	4	-23	17.5	15.4	2.02	16.3	18.9	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
POR 84, NOH 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 97, VAN 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.5%