NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	4.1 [792]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (POR): +10.3%
New Orleans Hornets	77		Comeback	1.2 [869]		LVP	Raymond Felton (POR): -16.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.01	-0.07	11	50%	0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.03	11	68%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	17	61%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Craig Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.26	-0.02	-0.11	8	12%	-0.09	8	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.03	0.07	13	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.03
Trey Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	15	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	31.1	15.7	26.0	1.8	27.3	126.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.6%

NOH -6.5%

NOH -4.9%

POR +25.2%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.6	90.3	83.7	102.8
season	15.7	16.3		104.1	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.4	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.6	15.7	14.2	18.2	15.3
NOH	15.8	17.8	15.9	13.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	50	51	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.10	17	-10	27	14.4	16.4	-2.06	17.2	14.1	3.12
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	4	-1	15.6	14.1	1.46	15.5	17.2	-1.67
Wesley Matthews	72	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	0	7	15.0	16.6	-1.66	16.0	15.2	0.84
Raymond Felton	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	0	7	15.8	14.1	1.66	16.3	14.5	1.82
Gerald Wallace	63	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	1	5	15.1	15.8	-0.74	15.2	16.9	-1.66
Jamal Crawford	46	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	7	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.8	16.8	-2.04
Craig Smith	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	15.5	15.3	0.23	17.3	15.2	2.06
Nicolas Batum	63	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.24	-9	16	-25	16.0	14.0	1.92	14.9	17.5	-2.63

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	41	44	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-11	15	15.7	15.9	-0.22	15.1	15.6	-0.46
Gustavo Ayon	37	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.10	5	-12	17	15.2	16.2	-0.98	16.6	14.4	2.21
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-15	23	15.5	16.2	-0.66	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Carl Landry	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.5	15.6	0.93	13.0	16.0	-2.95
Trey Johnson	4	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	20.7	15.6	5.17	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Emeka Okafor	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-8	9	16.1	15.3	0.77	15.4	15.2	0.21
Chris Kaman	47	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-5	3	14.5	17.2	-2.64	15.6	15.0	0.63
Jarrett Jack	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-5	3	15.8	15.6	0.23	15.7	12.5	3.26
Jason Smith	23	22	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	7	-21	18.0	15.1	2.93	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Marco Belinelli	40	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.03	-16	9	-25	17.2	14.7	2.51	14.8	15.7	-0.97
DaJuan Summers	58	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	4	-15	14.8	17.5	-2.74	15.7	14.7	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
TOR 94, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SAS 108, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%