NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	109		Excitement	12.6 [8]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +11.9%
Atlanta Hawks	111		Comeback	81.6 [10]		LVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): -54.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12	0.13	-0.02	-0.01	16	69%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.00	10	55%	-0.01	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.06
Elliot Perry	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27	-0.08	-0.17	0.02	18	48%	-0.17	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.18
Keith Van Horn	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.25,-0.35	-0.08	-0.27	0.00	22	51%	-0.11	6	-0.24	3	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.38	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.15	-0.22	0.01	18	34%	-0.34	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.15
Johnny Newman	-0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.42,-0.48,-0.48,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54	-0.15	-0.39	-0.00	15	39%	-0.18	4	-0.36	6	100%	0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.12	-0.01	11	58%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.16,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.16	-0.00	11	67%	0.18	6	-0.37	2	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.04	-0.31	-0.01	13	46%	-0.31	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.24,-0.36,-0.46,-0.46,-0.53,-0.35,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.43	-0.43	-0.24	-0.20	-0.01	25	29%	-0.27	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.4	1.6	24.2	16.7	24.2	1.6	34.1	0.7	23.8	1.5	11.4	163.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -6.4%

ATL +14.2%

ATL +35.4%

NJN -1.5%

ATL +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.2	93.2	92.5	101.7
season	15.5	15.4		102.1	99.3
opponent	15.2	14.7		105.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	15.8	15.3	17.9	13.1	11.7	15.0
ATL	13.0	16.7	12.8	14.6	13.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	76	78	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.21	-2	0	-2	15.6	14.2	1.34	14.4	14.0	0.41
Jim McIlvaine	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.32	12.0	14.5	-2.45
Jamie Feick	42	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-4	6	16.1	14.5	1.61	14.2	14.3	-0.11
Lucious Harris	94	97	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-3	4	14.5	17.5	-3.00	14.5	13.3	1.14
Elliot Perry	92	94	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-2	2	14.6	16.9	-2.30	14.2	14.6	-0.45
Keith Van Horn	104	105	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.48	1	-3	4	14.8	17.5	-2.64	14.7	11.4	3.28
Kendall Gill	88	90	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.53	-7	5	-12	15.2	15.0	0.19	14.4	14.0	0.36
Johnny Newman	80	82	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.74	-3	1	-4	15.8	13.5	2.34	13.6	15.6	-1.96

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	96	93	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.07	23	-21	44	13.9	15.7	-1.75	16.3	10.4	5.96
Jim Jackson	100	96	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-6	14	14.0	15.4	-1.36	15.3	14.4	0.89
Jason Terry	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-8	18	13.7	15.3	-1.56	15.4	14.6	0.75
Bimbo Coles	71	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.52	-3	5	-8	14.7	13.7	0.97	13.8	16.9	-3.12
Dion Glover	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.58	-11	13	-24	15.0	13.7	1.26	13.9	16.0	-2.02
Lorenzen Wright	57	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.51	-13	15	-28	15.4	13.3	2.10	13.6	16.5	-2.99
LaPhonso Ellis	63	63	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	13.8	14.8	-1.03	16.3	13.7	2.58
Cal Bowdler	26	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	13	-24	15.7	13.9	1.82	12.1	15.9	-3.80
Alan Henderson	58	57	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.40	4	-2	6	13.7	14.8	-1.18	16.6	13.7	2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.56,0.66,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, NJN 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.85,0.95,1	88.3%
SEA 102, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.7,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.78,0.98,1	87.2%
HOU 111, MIN 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1	87.1%