NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	12.0 [15]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +74.1%
New Jersey Nets	120		Comeback	5.7 [246]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -29.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.74	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.63,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.74	0.06	0.64	-0.03	23	60%	0.93	3	-0.19	6	83%	-0.06
Ron Mercer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.05,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.20	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	74%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.05	-0.20	-0.02	9	40%	-0.23	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	2	17%	-0.10	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.04	-0.26	-0.01	16	53%	0.08	4	-0.37	2	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	19	60%	0.17	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.06	0.18	0.00	26	51%	0.22	4	-0.11	9	100%	0.10
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.14	0.00	23	55%	0.19	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	4	60%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	484.2	2.7	30.2	19.7	28.2	3.4	41.3	1.5	18.3	1.4	17.3	648.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -49.5%

IND -1.4%

NJN +22.3%

NJN +75.3%

NJN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	17.3	15.4	15.6	102.8	112.1	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		101.6	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		98.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	17.0	17.7	18.1	17.9	16.5	17.5
NJN	14.3	16.6	17.0	14.8	13.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	34	35	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.05	9	-20	29	17.2	17.3	-0.09	16.2	15.0	1.20
Jonathan Bender	10	10	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.15	-1	-10	9	14.3	17.6	-3.27	12.4	15.7	-3.33
Kevin Ollie	61	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-8	5	16.6	18.2	-1.66	15.5	15.3	0.23
Jamaal Tinsley	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-1	-9	18.5	17.1	1.36	12.8	15.7	-2.91
Metta World Peace	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-6	1	17.9	16.6	1.27	16.3	14.6	1.67
Jeff Foster	26	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-3	-5	17.7	17.1	0.52	17.1	14.9	2.20
Reggie Miller	92	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	1	-13	16.8	20.5	-3.73	14.9	19.2	-4.34
Jermaine O'Neal	83	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-5	-1	17.6	16.2	1.39	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Ron Mercer	77	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	17.1	17.6	-0.44	15.5	15.2	0.28
Brad Miller	80	82	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	-2	-7	17.8	15.5	2.29	15.4	15.5	-0.08

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	44	44	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.28	17	-6	23	15.0	15.7	-0.64	16.8	17.6	-0.80
Jason Kidd	95	93	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	0	11	15.4	15.9	-0.56	17.5	15.5	1.97
Keith Van Horn	58	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	2	7	16.2	14.5	1.64	18.9	15.3	3.60
Kenyon Martin	104	103	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	5	1	15.4	17.7	-2.31	17.0	26.7	-9.68
Kerry Kittles	70	69	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	6	-1	15.2	15.8	-0.56	17.2	17.4	-0.22
Todd MacCulloch	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	4	3	15.1	15.6	-0.44	18.7	16.6	2.12
Anthony Johnson	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	11	-11	14.9	15.5	-0.57	15.5	17.5	-1.97
Aaron Williams	63	61	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	18	-25	15.6	15.1	0.48	16.9	17.8	-0.97
Richard Jefferson	34	34	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.22	-4	15	-19	16.1	15.1	1.06	16.3	17.7	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 109, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.56,0.66,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	88.3%
POR 109, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.92,1	88.0%
ATL 109, PHI 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	87.0%