NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	7.7 [340]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (PHI): +21.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	119		Comeback	2.5 [760]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -12.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.02	17	68%	0.19	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Malcolm Delaney	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	3	114%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	12	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	17	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Isaiah Taylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	10	43%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	4	50%	-0.04	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.09	-0.02	9	70%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	-0.00	-0.01	15	69%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	6	75%	0.12	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	16	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.03	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.06
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	11	33%	-0.13	1	0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.2	28.9	14.0	36.2	1.8	31.4	139.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.4%

ATL -2.2%

PHI +11.0%

PHI +13.1%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.7	12.9	14.7	98.2	104.4	107.5
season	14.6	13.9		104.2	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.4		103.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	12.9	11.4	12.9	12.7
PHI	13.9	13.3	12.2	12.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-16	22	14.5	12.3	2.15	14.2	12.6	1.57
Tyler Dorsey	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	10.0	12.7	-2.74	7.0	13.0	-6.01
Nicolas Brussino	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	10.0	12.7	-2.74	7.0	13.0	-6.01
John Collins	31	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-10	10	12.7	12.7	0.02	12.4	13.1	-0.67
Luke Babbitt	60	61	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-14	18	12.2	13.3	-1.15	12.5	13.3	-0.82
Isaiah Taylor	42	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-15	20	12.5	12.8	-0.23	12.0	13.4	-1.41
Marco Belinelli	69	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-6	2	12.2	13.5	-1.26	12.6	13.4	-0.80
Dewayne Dedmon	47	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	13.8	11.9	1.86	14.0	12.1	1.93
Dennis Schroder	76	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	2	-14	12.4	13.2	-0.78	13.4	11.8	1.55
Kent Bazemore	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	6	-22	13.1	12.1	1.00	13.2	12.5	0.64
Mike Muscala	52	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	3	-16	12.2	13.1	-0.83	12.7	13.1	-0.35
Taurean Prince	92	94	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.09	-16	6	-22	12.8	12.1	0.71	12.9	13.0	-0.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	75	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-1	12	12.4	13.9	-1.55	13.3	11.5	1.82
T.J. McConnell	63	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	3	4	12.0	14.0	-1.98	13.6	11.6	1.99
Robert Covington	79	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-2	14	13.0	12.6	0.40	12.8	12.4	0.43
Ben Simmons	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-4	18	13.0	12.6	0.37	12.4	13.5	-1.13
Amir Johnson	40	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	0	10	11.8	13.5	-1.62	13.5	12.3	1.22
JJ Redick	75	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	10	-10	13.6	11.6	1.92	12.0	14.1	-2.09
Joel Embiid	72	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	8	-6	13.7	11.6	2.03	12.3	13.3	-0.99
Dario Saric	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	9	-8	13.9	12.2	1.73	12.8	12.6	0.26
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	40	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	17	-24	12.1	13.3	-1.20	11.5	13.3	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, ATL 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
WAS 110, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
MIN 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%