inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 107 Excitement6.5 [523] MVPKyle Korver (ATL): +37.9%
Atlanta Hawks 124 Comeback2.1 [772] LVPTravis Outlaw (SAC): -6.2%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Williams0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.040.08-0.02860%0.161-0.024100%0.03
DeMarcus Cousins0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.040.022057%0.154-0.07989%0.01
Isaiah Thomas0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.021561%0.152-0.073100%0.02
Rudy Gay0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.011365%0.133-0.05875%-0.00
Ben McLemore0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.02683%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.02-0.00856%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Quincy Acy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray McCallum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hamady Ndiaye0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01631%-0.0200.0010%-0.02
Aaron Gray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.0240%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.380.380.280.150.051593%0.3800.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.100.11-0.025100%0.2300.0000%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.002100%0.0800.002100%0.01
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.03975%0.111-0.042100%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.050.00460%0.081-0.032100%0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.030.031962%0.134-0.09250%-0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.010.011058%0.063-0.06475%-0.01
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Pero Antic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011164%0.146-0.18683%0.01
Louis Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.91.827.415.427.31.728.3126.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +62.9%
SAC -12.3%
ATL +14.8%
SAC -14.0%
SAC -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACATLNBASACATLNBA
this game15.213.615.1108.1122.8105.2
season15.414.8104.5103.8
opponent15.314.7104.7107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.714.414.316.315.2
ATL12.613.814.513.713.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray McCallum120.00-0.500.500.000-171711.015.2-4.2212.513.7-1.16
Hamady Ndiaye120.00-0.500.500.000-171711.015.2-4.2212.513.7-1.16
Jason Thompson4142-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-141115.315.10.2713.213.9-0.68
DeMarcus Cousins7372-0.07-0.430.370.17-8-9115.315.00.3013.713.50.21
Isaiah Thomas8082-0.12-0.380.250.11-8-9114.418.5-4.0713.613.7-0.06
Aaron Gray1413-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-7-10314.615.3-0.7114.113.60.51
Ben McLemore7173-0.25-0.250.010.16-14-3-1114.716.4-1.7413.713.40.33
Travis Outlaw2930-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.17-3-141116.214.71.5013.313.8-0.43
Quincy Acy4042-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.26-1-161515.714.80.9513.713.60.18
Jimmer Fredette1817-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-8-118.914.44.5313.813.60.23
Derrick Williams5253-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-12-5-715.015.4-0.4214.113.10.93
Rudy Gay7577-0.48-0.02-0.460.11-203-2315.115.5-0.4213.414.3-0.92

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver74740.75-0.251.00-0.1029-124113.813.30.4616.212.33.88
Mike Scott39380.68-0.180.860.0422-52713.913.50.3916.414.42.05
DeMarre Carroll75740.380.120.27-0.2622-52713.513.9-0.3914.617.0-2.38
Shelvin Mack34320.330.170.160.24314-1113.613.7-0.1116.314.61.67
Pero Antic11120.330.170.160.12710-312.913.7-0.8116.415.01.41
Al Horford65620.230.27-0.03-0.211521313.613.8-0.2215.814.21.54
Jeff Teague67670.170.33-0.16-0.241431113.713.60.1114.616.3-1.67
Louis Williams42420.080.42-0.340.23-522-2713.513.7-0.1515.115.2-0.07
Elton Brand2726-0.060.56-0.620.09-522-2714.013.50.5513.115.9-2.85
Paul Millsap6261-0.180.68-0.86-0.03-522-2713.513.9-0.3914.416.4-2.05
John Jenkins97-0.210.71-0.920.14-1229-4114.113.60.5212.015.4-3.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 75, ATL 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,193.2%
SEA 98, PHI 1170.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.0%
MIL 109, UTA 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,193.0%