NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	6.6 [489]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +16.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	117		Comeback	2.0 [601]		LVP	Horace Grant (SEA): -16.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.00	0.11	-0.06	19	64%	0.29	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	10	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Fred Vinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	13	62%	-0.06
Vernon Maxwell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	15	32%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Horace Grant	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	7	31%	-0.08	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	10	60%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	0.00	10	70%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.08	29	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	24	50%	0.03	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.2	2.4	33.4	16.4	27.2	1.8	34.2	152.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.4%

PHI +9.1%

PHI +26.2%

PHI +5.5%

SEA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHI	NBA	SEA	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	15.3	15.2	97.0	117.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.0		103.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		98.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.2	12.3	15.2	13.0	13.4
PHI	15.1	16.0	14.8	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	19	19	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-20	21	13.2	13.4	-0.28	17.6	14.7	2.84
Fred Vinson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	9.5	13.5	-3.96	21.0	15.1	5.90
Shammond Williams	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	11.9	13.5	-1.64	18.5	15.0	3.50
Horace Grant	70	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-10	1	14.2	11.6	2.56	14.9	16.2	-1.37
Brent Barry	86	83	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-9	-1	13.9	10.3	3.59	14.7	18.2	-3.49
Vin Baker	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-5	-9	14.0	12.4	1.63	14.6	16.3	-1.73
Vladimir Stepania	9	11	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-10	1	14.8	13.2	1.53	18.8	14.8	3.98
Jelani McCoy	36	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	-7	-5	11.9	14.2	-2.37	15.7	15.0	0.67
Gary Payton	93	92	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-2	-15	13.0	18.4	-5.42	15.1	17.6	-2.55
Vernon Maxwell	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-7	-5	12.2	14.8	-2.56	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Ruben Patterson	66	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-8	-3	13.8	12.5	1.29	15.6	14.7	0.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	39	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	11	-3	16.0	14.8	1.18	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Allen Iverson	86	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	3	13	15.1	16.4	-1.25	13.1	15.2	-2.12
Nazr Mohammed	16	15	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	10	-1	18.4	14.7	3.68	14.4	13.2	1.19
Larry Hughes	76	80	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	6	7	14.9	16.5	-1.66	13.7	12.0	1.69
Aaron McKie	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	10	-1	15.6	14.8	0.74	13.8	12.7	1.13
George Lynch	73	73	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.31	15	4	11	14.9	16.2	-1.24	14.0	11.9	2.07
Billy Owens	33	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	12	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.14	12.8	13.7	-0.85
Bruce Bowen	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	17	-15	16.1	15.1	1.03	13.7	13.3	0.45
Tyrone Hill	29	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	16	-13	13.9	15.8	-1.95	13.9	13.1	0.73
Jumaine Jones	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	23	-27	16.5	15.1	1.36	9.1	13.8	-4.69
Eric Snow	28	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	22	-25	15.7	15.1	0.60	12.5	13.7	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
DAL 105, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 109, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%