NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	87		Excitement	6.0 [600]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +13.2%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	2.8 [669]		LVP	Malik Rose (SAS): -16.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	14	50%	0.02	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	44%	-0.05	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	17	62%	0.22	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.08	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	19	59%	0.06	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.05	0.05	12	67%	0.04	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	26%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.8	31.3	17.4	25.5	3.8	34.0	137.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.8%

SAC +18.0%

SAS -0.4%

SAC +15.4%

SAS -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.7	92.6	107.4	100.5
season	15.9	14.7		100.1	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.9	15.2	17.6	14.7	16.0
SAC	16.6	15.5	13.7	13.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	15	16	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-17	20	13.3	16.5	-3.26	15.8	14.4	1.43
Charlie Ward	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	10.2	16.3	-6.14	17.3	14.4	2.89
Jason Hart	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	12.4	16.3	-3.87	18.0	14.4	3.64
Robert Horry	40	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-12	10	16.4	15.7	0.76	15.3	14.2	1.07
Devin Brown	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-14	14	14.9	16.3	-1.40	15.2	14.5	0.66
Hedo Turkoglu	78	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-8	2	16.6	13.1	3.48	15.1	12.7	2.36
Bruce Bowen	56	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-5	-4	15.9	16.2	-0.29	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Rasho Nesterovic	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	16.2	15.4	0.80	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Malik Rose	48	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	15.9	16.1	-0.15	13.9	15.4	-1.47
Manu Ginobili	54	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	-1	-12	16.6	15.2	1.37	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Tony Parker	73	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.04	-22	8	-30	16.3	15.1	1.18	14.1	16.5	-2.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.18	15	-1	16	14.1	15.9	-1.84	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Mike Bibby	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-6	26	14.5	16.0	-1.52	16.4	12.0	4.44
Doug Christie	82	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.08	17	-3	20	14.4	16.3	-1.96	16.1	15.1	1.04
Anthony Peeler	43	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	5	4	14.0	15.2	-1.24	14.7	17.0	-2.27
Chris Webber	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	2	10	14.8	14.2	0.59	16.4	15.1	1.24
Peja Stojakovic	78	79	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	8	-2	14.8	13.7	1.13	16.8	12.1	4.69
Darius Songaila	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	16.4	14.5	1.87	10.2	16.3	-6.14
Jabari Smith	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	16.3	14.6	1.76	9.5	16.2	-6.65
Rodney Buford	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	16.4	14.5	1.87	10.2	16.3	-6.14
Vlade Divac	38	38	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.08	-5	19	-24	15.9	13.7	2.17	16.3	15.8	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
UTA 77, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
ORL 105, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%