NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.6 [167]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +20.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	7.6 [56]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -25.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.13	0.01	13	81%	0.37	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	15	53%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	8	78%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	19	43%	-0.02	4	-0.23	8	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	8	28%	-0.15	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	13	57%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.07
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	9	45%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	2	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	10	48%	-0.07	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	22	44%	-0.20	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.08
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	13	41%	-0.11	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	27.2	19.3	27.6	2.6	37.3	139.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +96.1%

PHI -8.1%

PHI -10.9%

PHI -25.3%

PHI -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	14.8	15.2	103.4	98.9	101.7
season	15.4	15.0		106.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	21.6	16.3	18.4	17.2
PHI	13.9	13.8	15.0	16.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	43	45	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.63	6	-4	10	19.3	15.4	3.89	14.9	14.6	0.30
Sam Perkins	33	34	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.62	6	-4	10	19.0	16.2	2.79	15.0	14.6	0.40
Chris Mullin	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-4	10	16.3	21.5	-5.18	15.0	13.6	1.39
Jalen Rose	85	87	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-4	10	17.0	21.7	-4.71	14.8	14.2	0.55
Travis Best	54	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.55	-6	8	-14	19.1	14.3	4.83	14.6	15.1	-0.45
Dale Davis	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	-4	10	16.0	18.3	-2.27	15.3	14.4	0.90
Rik Smits	56	57	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.18	-4	6	-10	16.2	19.0	-2.79	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Austin Croshere	59	59	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.09	-10	12	-22	16.4	19.0	-2.64	14.1	16.0	-1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	63	62	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-2	2	14.1	16.2	-2.07	16.7	18.4	-1.67
Matt Geiger	27	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-4	6	13.7	15.2	-1.58	18.8	16.7	2.10
Theo Ratliff	60	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	2	-6	15.3	13.8	1.43	16.4	19.2	-2.82
Aaron McKie	24	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-4	6	14.9	14.7	0.13	19.0	16.7	2.31
Tyrone Hill	74	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	15.1	13.5	1.61	16.7	19.4	-2.60
Eric Snow	84	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	15.0	12.7	2.24	17.3	16.4	0.89
Toni Kukoc	43	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-3	4	14.1	15.4	-1.30	19.6	15.2	4.43
Allen Iverson	80	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	4	-10	15.2	11.9	3.27	16.5	23.2	-6.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.47,0.45,0.24,0.11,0.43,0.17,0	90.1%
MIL 106, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.1,0.01,0	90.1%
LAC 118, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.37,0	89.9%