NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	118		Excitement	8.6 [175]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +53.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	3.9 [658]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -27.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.53,0.53	0.17	0.36	-0.01	11	69%	0.53	0	0.00	10	90%	0.06
Blake Griffin	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	23	67%	0.41	5	-0.23	12	92%	0.12
DeAndre Jordan	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	92%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.04	9	58%	-0.02	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	9	46%	-0.10	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.13	0.00	15	68%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.00	6	58%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	6	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	13	65%	0.15	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	3	80%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	2	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.08,-0.27	-0.27	-0.02	-0.23	0.02	15	51%	-0.18	3	-0.09	11	73%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	37.7	17.5	28.3	2.8	37.4	152.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +1.0%

LAC +49.6%

LAC +6.9%

LAL -5.8%

LAL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.2	15.1	116.8	107.8	104.2
season	14.6	15.5		110.5	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.3		108.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	12.8	14.9	13.7	14.0
LAL	14.6	12.1	13.9	16.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	55	57	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-4	15	13.7	14.4	-0.76	14.8	13.5	1.36
JJ Redick	70	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-4	15	14.1	13.9	0.19	14.2	14.3	-0.04
DeAndre Jordan	79	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	14.4	12.5	1.98	14.7	12.5	2.15
Chris Paul	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	14.1	13.6	0.49	14.5	13.4	1.10
Blake Griffin	81	83	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	14.2	13.3	0.81	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Spencer Hawes	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	5	-3	13.0	14.5	-1.51	13.6	14.5	-0.88
Jordan Farmar	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	7	-7	13.6	14.1	-0.49	13.4	14.5	-1.10
Hedo Turkoglu	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	5	-3	13.4	14.1	-0.61	14.7	14.2	0.48
Matt Barnes	48	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.16	3	4	-1	13.9	14.1	-0.12	14.5	14.0	0.46
Chris Douglas-Roberts	30	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	17	-27	14.3	13.9	0.43	12.2	15.1	-2.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	33	29	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-13	19	13.5	14.6	-1.15	13.6	14.2	-0.53
Wesley Johnson	64	62	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-9	11	14.2	14.4	-0.20	14.4	13.4	1.04
Jordan Clarkson	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-6	5	13.2	14.4	-1.18	12.2	14.3	-2.07
Xavier Henry	11	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-8	9	13.4	14.3	-0.97	14.5	13.9	0.57
Ronnie Price	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-5	3	13.7	14.5	-0.80	14.3	13.9	0.39
Ed Davis	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	3	-13	15.4	13.5	1.87	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Jordan Hill	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	14.5	13.6	0.92	14.5	12.9	1.54
Jeremy Lin	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	14.3	14.1	0.12	13.8	14.6	-0.84
Carlos Boozer	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	13.8	14.9	-1.09	14.0	13.9	0.08
Wayne Ellington	43	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	14.7	13.9	0.88	13.6	14.3	-0.66
Kobe Bryant	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.32	-9	2	-11	14.3	14.0	0.32	14.1	13.6	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.47,0.45,0.24,0.11,0.43,0.17,0	90.8%
SEA 96, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.56,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.16,0	90.0%
IND 92, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.04,0	89.9%