NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	116		Excitement	10.3 [45]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +11.8%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	37.6 [63]		LVP	Todd Day (PHX): -30.5%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	74%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	59%	0.08	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.07
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Obinna Ekezie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	53%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	15	47%	-0.08	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Michael Dickerson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	0.02	-0.26	0.00	28	55%	0.05	4	-0.30	8	87%	0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	11	56%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Randy Livingston	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	20	56%	0.16	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.01	13	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.05
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.14	-0.12	0.04	24	69%	0.16	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.03
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.21	-0.01	8	29%	-0.28	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.28

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	29.1	15.4	26.2	1.8	36.0	1.8	17.2	155.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +64.6%

VAN -13.8%

PHX +4.2%

VAN -1.4%

VAN -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHX	NBA	VAN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.2	110.5	114.0	101.7
season	15.9	14.8		99.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		96.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
VAN	16.0	17.3	14.8	15.5	17.2	16.0
PHX	12.3	12.0	15.8	14.5	18.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	47	50	0.49	-0.99	1.49	0.26	8	-14	22	14.7	17.1	-2.34	15.2	12.9	2.36
Cherokee Parks	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	16.4	16.0	0.45	13.1	14.2	-1.08
Milt Palacio	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	19.7	15.9	3.74	8.0	14.2	-6.15
Felipe Lopez	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-2	-2	19.1	15.8	3.33	16.5	13.8	2.67
Dennis Scott	56	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-5	4	16.6	15.3	1.30	13.2	14.8	-1.57
Obinna Ekezie	8	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-1	-4	18.9	15.8	3.07	13.0	14.0	-1.05
Michael Dickerson	94	96	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	15.6	19.5	-3.82	13.6	17.5	-3.87
Mike Bibby	102	104	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	15.9	19.7	-3.74	14.2	8.0	6.15
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	91	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	2	-10	16.3	14.6	1.61	14.0	13.8	0.23
Othella Harrington	89	90	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.54	-6	0	-6	15.9	17.1	-1.21	13.8	14.7	-0.86

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	42	40	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-5	16	14.2	13.8	0.42	17.2	15.3	1.96
Anfernee Hardaway	66	64	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.36	13	-7	20	14.0	13.9	0.09	16.6	15.2	1.42
Rodney Rogers	64	61	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-5	16	14.7	12.8	1.91	16.6	15.2	1.40
Luc Longley	47	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-4	14	13.9	14.0	-0.16	15.4	16.5	-1.07
Shawn Marion	72	72	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	13.6	14.9	-1.30	16.1	15.9	0.19
Clifford Robinson	96	94	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	8	-10	13.9	15.1	-1.24	15.8	18.1	-2.29
Toby Bailey	18	19	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	4	-2	14.7	13.8	0.82	17.2	15.8	1.43
Corie Blount	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	10	-14	12.5	14.6	-2.02	16.2	16.0	0.17
Don MacLean	9	9	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.09	-5	11	-16	15.9	13.8	2.08	12.2	16.4	-4.17
Randy Livingston	81	80	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.10	-13	19	-32	13.5	15.4	-1.85	15.1	19.0	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.2,0.26,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.92,1	89.6%
TOR 87, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.86,0.95,1	89.5%
DEN 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,1	89.5%