inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 87 Excitement8.9 [155] MVPTerrence Ross (TOR): +20.0%
Miami Heat 94 Comeback10.8 [162] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -37.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terrence Ross0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.20.050.10-0.051061%0.212-0.013100%0.02
DeMarre Carroll0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.110.060.04-0.011159%0.1100.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.110,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.050.03676%0.131-0.035100%0.03
Lucas Nogueira0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.00383%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.06-0.011741%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.090.00844%0.003-0.1500%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.12-0.17-0.011134%-0.124-0.17786%-0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.380,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.34,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.38-0.20-0.170.011724%-0.243-0.14425%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.150.150.060.110.022457%0.243-0.08580%0.02
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.030.11-0.001348%0.1500.005100%0.07
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.00575%0.121-0.02250%-0.02
Luol Deng0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.04-0.00750%0.061-0.02475%0.02
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01-0.00240%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.01375%0.033-0.082100%0.02
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.011642%-0.022-0.074100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.53.529.618.228.52.840.62.716.5171.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +21.4%
MIA +25.7%
TOR -35.0%
MIA +42.2%
TOR -4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game17.315.914.990.697.9105.1
season16.115.5107.2104.5
opponent15.114.8103.1104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR17.215.319.719.312.817.3
MIA12.815.419.215.818.515.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bismack Biyombo61600.55-1.051.600.2311-182916.718.3-1.6615.017.2-2.17
Kyle Lowry61620.07-0.570.630.12-2-5316.918.0-1.1215.516.5-1.03
Patrick Patterson7472-0.12-0.380.27-0.358-152317.217.5-0.3116.414.22.26
Lucas Nogueira2122-0.19-0.310.130.02-70-719.016.82.2917.115.51.65
Norman Powell2123-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-81-916.017.6-1.5514.916.2-1.31
Cory Joseph6362-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.28-70-718.115.62.4716.914.02.93
Terrence Ross4747-0.530.03-0.56-0.21-114-1517.816.71.0717.913.93.93
DeMarre Carroll6968-0.740.24-0.98-0.51-81-917.117.6-0.4115.018.0-3.07
DeMar DeRozan6364-0.800.30-1.10-0.48-114-1517.017.8-0.7614.718.1-3.39

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng78780.74-0.240.980.3314-72114.820.4-5.5717.814.83.06
Justise Winslow53520.60-0.100.700.3970717.513.83.7117.117.5-0.40
Joe Johnson76760.60-0.100.700.3970716.015.30.6516.819.0-2.20
Dwyane Wade71730.57-0.070.640.338-1914.619.5-4.8917.217.6-0.46
Goran Dragic79770.490.010.470.229-21115.816.0-0.1617.615.91.64
Udonis Haslem20210.090.41-0.33-0.0034-111.916.9-4.9416.017.6-1.67
Tyler Johnson980.000.50-0.490.0007-721.415.36.1616.217.4-1.10
Amar'e Stoudemire2325-0.170.67-0.840.01-613-1913.716.5-2.8017.417.20.24
Josh Richardson3536-0.200.70-0.91-0.12-310-1316.915.31.5617.317.20.03
Josh McRoberts3634-0.210.71-0.92-0.10-411-1519.113.95.2417.617.00.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.86,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 106, IND 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.92,190.9%
GSW 105, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.96,190.4%
CHI 85, MIL 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.84,0.96,190.2%