inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 105 Excitement10.4 [59] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +10.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 106 Comeback20.3 [106] LVPLamar Odom (LAL): -27.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zarko Cabarkapa0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.070.010.05-0.00546%0.0700.00367%0.00
Andris Biedrins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000100%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Ike Diogu-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.040,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.030.021162%0.043-0.072100%0.01
Monta Ellis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00839%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Mike Dunleavy-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.031-0.0220%-0.03
Adonal Foyle-0.090,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00444%-0.013-0.0810%-0.05
Derek Fisher-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.011545%0.013-0.121090%0.05
Mickael Pietrus-0.150,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.150.02-0.120.051753%-0.032-0.12475%-0.00
Baron Davis-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2-0.03-0.160.002948%-0.084-0.122100%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,-0.09,0,0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.06,0.10.10-0.040.150.002250%0.436-0.321687%0.16
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.00580%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00860%0.071-0.02475%-0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.02373%0.061-0.04580%0.01
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.020.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00737%-0.0300.00250%-0.04
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.00843%-0.0400.001250%-0.14
Smush Parker0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.020.021161%0.094-0.13650%-0.02
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.14-0.14-0.001043%-0.037-0.251100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.33.432.317.827.42.339.52.522.2174.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +44.2%
LAL +20.3%
LAL +3.3%
GSW -20.4%
LAL +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game16.313.515.699.199.1104.4
season14.815.6102.9106.2
opponent15.515.5104.3104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW14.315.914.921.315.616.3
LAL13.914.115.113.09.813.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher72710.36-0.861.230.283-4717.214.42.7914.012.61.35
Andris Biedrins22230.09-0.590.680.061-2316.416.30.0912.213.9-1.73
Mike Dunleavy2927-0.00-0.500.500.03-10-114.916.9-2.0314.113.30.72
Ike Diogu2831-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-1114.716.9-2.2611.614.3-2.66
Zarko Cabarkapa2324-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-10-114.316.9-2.5410.214.5-4.34
Mickael Pietrus7777-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.545-61116.516.00.5214.112.11.99
Baron Davis8384-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.38-21-316.914.32.6514.211.03.17
Adonal Foyle5654-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.584-5915.017.9-2.8814.312.71.58
Troy Murphy7878-0.530.03-0.57-0.42-43-717.114.22.8414.510.93.62
Monta Ellis6266-0.780.28-1.06-0.49-109-1916.815.71.0912.115.9-3.76

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devean George58550.80-0.301.090.597-61313.014.2-1.2416.915.71.26
Kobe Bryant99980.490.010.480.4901-113.513.40.1716.415.41.04
Lamar Odom78790.480.020.450.50-12-313.214.3-1.0716.515.80.75
Smush Parker71710.470.030.440.53-23-513.114.3-1.1616.216.6-0.35
Chris Mihm58570.350.150.200.47-45-914.013.00.9815.617.2-1.53
Sasha Vujacic45450.340.160.17-0.0212-112313.613.50.0418.414.83.66
Luke Walton29280.280.220.050.048-71513.813.40.4017.715.81.87
Andrew Bynum55-0.020.52-0.540.01-12-313.213.5-0.3512.016.6-4.55
Brian Cook4037-0.220.72-0.95-0.14-34-713.313.7-0.4115.516.8-1.35
Kwame Brown5255-0.440.94-1.39-0.12-1112-2314.712.52.1814.818.0-3.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 100, NJN 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.76,0.91,190.8%
TOR 87, MIA 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.86,0.95,190.4%
LAL 122, GSW 1250.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.73,190.1%