NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	8.7 [146]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +17.7%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	3.1 [325]		LVP	Calbert Cheaney (BOS): -24.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	18	55%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	8	44%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	2	58%	-0.03	2	-0.13	8	87%	0.03
Bo Outlaw	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	8	42%	-0.04	2	-0.13	3	0%	-0.05
Darrell Armstrong	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	13	43%	-0.09	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	16	39%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.01	8	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	7	81%	0.23	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	15	62%	0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	11	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	14	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	60%	0.04	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	4	31%	-0.08	2	-0.08	5	40%	-0.05
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	9	25%	-0.19	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	31.0	15.6	29.5	1.6	31.3	136.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.5%

ORL -17.0%

ORL -3.0%

BOS +18.9%

ORL -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.2	97.8	103.3	101.7
season	13.6	14.7		100.4	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.3	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	13.1	16.2	16.8	15.1
BOS	16.0	15.1	16.5	16.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	42	42	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-1	-2	17.1	13.5	3.59	16.2	15.9	0.29
Corey Maggette	24	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-2	0	11.7	16.3	-4.61	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Michael Doleac	19	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	10.8	16.2	-5.45	15.2	16.2	-0.98
Monty Williams	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	12.4	16.7	-4.28	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Chucky Atkins	37	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	0	-4	12.6	16.8	-4.21	16.3	15.8	0.50
John Amaechi	65	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-7	10	16.3	12.5	3.81	16.2	15.5	0.77
Bo Outlaw	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	16.6	11.3	5.30	16.4	15.1	1.28
Darrell Armstrong	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-4	4	16.7	12.4	4.28	16.4	15.3	1.10
Ron Mercer	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-2	0	16.3	11.7	4.61	16.3	15.3	1.00
Pat Garrity	49	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	13.5	17.0	-3.46	15.2	17.0	-1.77

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	49	51	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-3	10	17.4	14.4	3.08	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Paul Pierce	44	44	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-3	10	17.0	15.1	1.85	18.4	12.2	6.27
Antoine Walker	66	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	3	-2	16.8	14.1	2.70	16.7	11.6	5.20
Eric Williams	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	5	-6	15.2	17.1	-1.81	13.9	16.8	-2.93
Kenny Anderson	59	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	6	-8	16.7	14.7	2.00	16.9	12.3	4.56
Dana Barros	33	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-2	8	14.7	16.7	-2.00	12.3	16.9	-4.56
Walter McCarty	27	29	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	13.7	17.0	-3.27	11.6	16.7	-5.20
Adrian Griffin	15	16	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	3	-2	14.9	16.2	-1.29	11.2	15.9	-4.76
Vitaly Potapenko	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	13.5	16.6	-3.12	19.9	14.1	5.89
Calbert Cheaney	72	73	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	3	-2	16.2	15.3	0.91	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Tony Battie	25	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	8	-12	15.4	16.2	-0.84	12.8	16.0	-3.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.36,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	92.5%
UTA 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1	92.0%
SAC 107, SEA 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.36,0.68,0.83,1	92.0%