NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	8.1 [232]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +26.6%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.1 [564]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -17.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,0,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	18	63%	0.20	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	65%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
John Amaechi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
John Stockton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.06	0.02	7	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	17	62%	0.04	5	-0.15	8	75%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	4	45%	0.03	3	-0.20	3	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.17	0.04	19	67%	0.27	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.05
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.13	-0.00	4	59%	0.12	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	24	62%	0.27	5	-0.21	13	92%	0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	77%	0.18	3	-0.15	6	50%	-0.05
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	4	25%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	28.4	14.8	26.3	2.7	32.3	131.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.9%

PHX +6.5%

UTA -10.2%

PHX +21.0%

PHX +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.5	105.3	113.8	101.6
season	16.3	15.0		103.1	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		100.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	17.1	13.9	17.4	15.6
PHX	14.6	17.2	16.1	12.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	68	66	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.00	4	-12	16	16.1	14.3	1.71	15.8	13.3	2.47
John Amaechi	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-7	6	16.5	15.4	1.13	15.1	15.1	0.00
Greg Ostertag	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-4	0	14.0	16.0	-1.95	16.0	14.8	1.16
Tony Massenburg	37	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-11	14	16.5	15.0	1.58	15.6	14.7	0.81
John Stockton	61	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-6	4	15.1	16.5	-1.39	15.4	14.4	0.93
Mark Jackson	33	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	16.5	15.1	1.39	14.4	15.4	-0.93
Scott Padgett	37	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	17.0	14.6	2.38	14.1	15.7	-1.57
Karl Malone	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	1	-10	14.6	19.7	-5.12	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Andrei Kirilenko	46	46	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	0	-8	16.5	14.7	1.83	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Matt Harpring	74	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	4	-16	14.6	19.3	-4.78	14.9	15.6	-0.62

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	41	39	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.47	8	0	8	14.3	15.6	-1.26	16.2	15.2	1.02
Scott Williams	43	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	1	6	15.2	14.9	0.29	15.3	15.8	-0.46
Shawn Marion	86	87	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-1	10	14.8	17.6	-2.81	15.6	14.9	0.79
Stephon Marbury	85	87	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	2	4	14.9	16.7	-1.78	15.4	18.1	-2.76
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	4	0	14.7	16.0	-1.34	14.3	18.9	-4.61
Jake Voskuhl	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	-3	14	14.2	15.7	-1.52	16.3	15.0	1.25
Joe Johnson	47	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.07	2	6	-4	15.3	14.9	0.40	14.7	16.5	-1.71
Dan Langhi	12	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	8	-8	18.7	14.5	4.14	16.6	15.4	1.19
Randy Brown	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.09	-1	9	-10	16.1	14.9	1.18	17.4	15.4	2.03
Bo Outlaw	34	35	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	14	-20	16.6	14.2	2.45	17.5	14.4	3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.91,1	93.2%
SAC 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	93.1%
SAS 93, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.92,1	92.2%