NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	8.5 [176]		MVP	Darrick Martin (SAC): +11.3%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	3.5 [169]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -46.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	19	67%	0.33	5	-0.22	7	86%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.07
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	21	48%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
William Avery	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.07	-0.02	7	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	19%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.03	7	33%	-0.14	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	20	40%	-0.20	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.18,-0.28,-0.32,-0.36,-0.47	-0.47	-0.20	-0.26	0.00	21	42%	-0.22	7	-0.24	6	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	30.1	19.4	23.4	2.4	46.2	147.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +77.4%

SAC -11.6%

SAC -13.4%

SAC -6.4%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.3	15.2	96.0	93.9	101.7
season	15.1	13.8		103.5	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.7		100.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	13.0	16.8	13.5	13.9
SAC	14.2	15.8	16.7	14.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	72	71	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.49	20	-17	37	13.9	14.0	-0.05	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Terrell Brandon	82	82	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.58	15	-12	27	13.7	14.9	-1.22	15.4	14.9	0.45
Wally Szczerbiak	71	69	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-8	19	14.2	13.2	1.00	15.4	15.1	0.35
Kevin Garnett	87	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-7	17	13.7	15.8	-2.17	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Rasho Nesterovic	45	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-4	11	15.1	12.9	2.21	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Dean Garrett	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-2	7	18.0	13.1	4.86	16.5	15.1	1.41
Bobby Jackson	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	5	-7	9.9	14.6	-4.74	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Joe Smith	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	9	-15	12.5	14.9	-2.38	16.4	14.6	1.86
Tom Hammonds	7	8	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	13	-23	15.7	13.8	1.92	15.4	15.3	0.06
Sam Mitchell	18	19	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.04	-9	12	-21	12.2	14.3	-2.15	14.6	15.5	-0.85
William Avery	7	6	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.15	-10	13	-23	17.0	13.7	3.30	10.7	15.6	-4.95
Anthony Peeler	37	37	-0.54	1.04	-1.57	-0.07	-16	19	-35	14.3	13.7	0.54	15.6	15.1	0.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	34	35	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.03	15	-18	33	15.2	15.4	-0.17	12.5	14.7	-2.14
Darrick Martin	29	29	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.00	13	-16	29	14.4	15.7	-1.28	13.1	14.3	-1.22
Tony Delk	36	37	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.11	14	-17	31	15.7	15.1	0.69	14.4	13.6	0.80
Tyrone Corbin	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-8	13	16.2	14.7	1.51	14.4	13.6	0.87
Corliss Williamson	40	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.02	-18	15	-33	15.6	15.1	0.56	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Vlade Divac	88	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	2	-7	15.1	17.5	-2.43	14.0	13.5	0.48
Peja Stojakovic	93	95	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	5	-13	15.2	16.8	-1.56	13.9	14.7	-0.86
Scot Pollard	63	62	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.42	-16	13	-29	15.6	14.8	0.76	15.1	11.9	3.21
Jason Williams	64	65	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.45	-15	12	-27	15.0	16.0	-1.05	13.4	15.0	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.57,0.55,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.63,0.74,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.24,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.63,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.2,0.16,0	91.0%
NOP 130, DEN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.46,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.8,0.73,0.45,0.45,0.1,0.03,0	90.9%
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	90.4%