NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	130		Excitement	7.7 [321]		MVP	Will Barton (DEN): +37.7%
Denver Nuggets	125		Comeback	4.1 [293]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (DEN): -21.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.08	0.18	0.00	13	62%	0.30	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	13	62%	0.23	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	11	74%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.02	0.03	13	77%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Ryan Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	11	64%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Norris Cole	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	62%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Luke Babbitt	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.25,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38	0.38	0.18	0.21	0.01	25	63%	0.43	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.01	10	85%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	8	72%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	14	60%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	56%	0.04	0	0.00	12	92%	0.03
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.14,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	0.04	-0.20	0.06	12	62%	-0.10	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	32.2	15.6	24.2	1.7	34.1	138.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +39.9%

NOP +11.1%

NOP +1.0%

DEN -3.7%

NOP +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DEN	NBA	NOP	DEN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.4	14.9	135.4	127.6	105.1
season	14.3	14.9		104.3	104.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		107.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.0	14.4	13.8	13.8	14.2
DEN	15.0	16.2	16.8	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	62	64	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.46	19	-14	33	13.8	15.0	-1.24	16.0	14.4	1.68
Tyreke Evans	65	66	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-9	23	14.3	14.1	0.15	15.8	14.7	1.18
Ryan Anderson	62	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-2	9	14.2	14.2	-0.01	15.7	15.0	0.73
Anthony Davis	40	41	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-6	17	13.7	14.6	-0.82	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Alonzo Gee	32	32	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-11	27	15.1	13.8	1.30	17.0	14.7	2.35
Omer Asik	34	34	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.14	16	-11	27	15.2	13.7	1.51	16.6	14.8	1.74
Jrue Holiday	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.56	-11	16	-27	13.4	15.2	-1.76	14.3	16.8	-2.58
Ish Smith	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	7	-9	17.2	14.1	3.13	16.6	15.4	1.21
Luke Babbitt	14	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	14.3	14.2	0.07	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Kendrick Perkins	33	33	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.13	-16	21	-37	14.2	14.2	0.02	15.5	15.4	0.10
Dante Cunningham	39	40	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	-0.14	-12	17	-29	14.2	14.3	-0.08	14.5	16.1	-1.65
Norris Cole	42	44	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.18	-11	16	-27	14.5	14.0	0.44	14.3	16.4	-2.01

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	46	46	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.10	11	-16	27	15.3	15.6	-0.23	14.7	13.8	0.81
Randy Foye	47	44	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.07	12	-17	29	14.2	16.6	-2.42	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Darrell Arthur	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-8	11	14.2	15.6	-1.46	14.2	14.2	-0.07
Danilo Gallinari	45	44	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-6	7	16.1	14.9	1.14	15.0	13.6	1.47
Mike Miller	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-10	15	13.3	16.3	-2.97	12.6	14.8	-2.27
Kostas Papanikolaou	39	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	16.2	15.0	1.17	14.9	13.8	1.17
Will Barton	76	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-12	19	14.7	18.1	-3.47	13.8	15.9	-2.14
Joffrey Lauvergne	24	23	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	12	-29	17.5	14.8	2.72	15.3	13.9	1.47
Kenneth Faried	50	48	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.44	-13	8	-21	15.5	15.4	0.02	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Jameer Nelson	74	72	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.49	-13	8	-21	15.9	14.0	1.86	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Gary Harris	50	51	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.35	-21	16	-37	16.6	14.2	2.39	14.8	13.5	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.46,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.8,0.73,0.45,0.45,0.1,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.57,0.55,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.63,0.74,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.24,0.15,0	90.9%
CHI 94, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.04,0	90.3%
NOH 83, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.37,0.32,0.09,0	90.1%