NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	83		Excitement	8.2 [210]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): +20.6%
Boston Celtics	81		Comeback	5.2 [147]		LVP	Glen Davis (BOS): -25.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.15	-0.01	9	56%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.12,0.1	-0.04	0.15	0.01	7	39%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	0%	-0.12
David West	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	17	49%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.06
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	15	57%	0.11	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.05
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.11	0.02	10	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.10
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	5	77%	0.14	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.00	13	64%	0.12	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.05
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.10	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	9	36%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	14	29%	-0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.5	15.6	26.2	2.4	38.5	138.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +38.7%

BOS -13.7%

BOS -7.1%

NOH +28.1%

NOH +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	BOS	NBA	NOH	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.5	94.3	95.3	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		104.6	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		99.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.0	16.7	16.0	18.6	16.8
BOS	14.7	17.6	18.3	15.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	54	52	1.09	-0.59	1.69	0.54	19	-17	36	16.1	17.9	-1.75	17.5	14.9	2.52
Chris Paul	73	71	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.39	17	-15	32	16.3	19.4	-3.13	16.9	14.2	2.72
David West	75	74	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-13	28	16.5	18.4	-1.85	16.7	15.2	1.49
Emeka Okafor	79	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	16.9	15.8	1.15	16.7	14.7	2.03
Trevor Ariza	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	8	-14	17.1	16.3	0.84	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Quincy Pondexter	10	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-2	6	18.5	16.6	1.91	16.0	16.6	-0.55
DJ Mbenga	5	4	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	14.0	17.0	-2.98	14.7	16.6	-1.82
Marcus Thornton	23	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	17.1	16.7	0.38	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Willie Green	35	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	9	-16	16.7	16.9	-0.20	16.2	16.7	-0.52
Jason Smith	17	16	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	15	-28	18.3	16.5	1.84	15.0	16.8	-1.83
Jarrett Jack	15	14	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.01	-14	16	-30	19.4	16.3	3.13	14.2	16.9	-2.72

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	24	25	0.66	-1.16	1.82	0.13	18	-20	38	14.9	17.1	-2.18	16.9	16.8	0.16
Marquis Daniels	45	45	0.42	-0.92	1.35	0.19	8	-10	18	15.6	17.4	-1.83	17.5	16.1	1.35
Von Wafer	11	11	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-11	20	14.6	16.8	-2.12	18.2	16.6	1.57
Avery Bradley	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-1	0	0.0	16.5	-16.48	2.0	17.0	-14.98
Shaquille O'Neal	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	2	-6	17.2	16.2	1.03	16.2	17.1	-0.90
Jermaine O'Neal	58	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.56	3	-5	8	16.2	17.2	-1.03	17.3	15.7	1.65
Nate Robinson	66	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	4	-10	16.8	15.3	1.50	16.4	18.3	-1.86
Ray Allen	70	74	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.44	-9	7	-16	16.8	15.1	1.64	16.6	17.7	-1.08
Paul Pierce	63	66	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.65	-9	7	-16	16.7	15.7	1.02	16.5	17.7	-1.17
Glen Davis	61	62	-1.17	0.67	-1.83	-0.61	-19	17	-36	17.1	14.9	2.18	17.0	16.3	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.37,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.26,0	91.0%
BOS 98, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.22,0.15,0	90.2%
NOP 130, DEN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.46,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.8,0.73,0.45,0.45,0.1,0.03,0	90.1%